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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 176.91 | $0.988 | $174.79 | Jun 28, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 175 |
| $0.993 |
| $173.78 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 175.75 | $0.981 | $172.41 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.964 | $166.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 166.2 | $0.996 | $165.54 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8K | $0.001 | $8 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.04K | $0.003 | $21.12 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7K | $0.003 | $21 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.96K | $0.002 | $7.91 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 225.55 | $0.999 | $225.26 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 225.32 | $0.983 | $221.49 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 6.25K | $0.996 | $6.22K | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 956.21 | $0.972 | $929.44 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.972 | $78.73 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | sell | 93.51 | $0.998 | $93.32 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.994 | $198.8 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.994 | $198.8 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.63K | $0.930 | $17.33K | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.930 | $1.95K | Dec 5, 2025 |