Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:50 PM UTC.
Analytics
QMG-ALPHAC is down $10.74 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:50 PM UTC.
$5.6 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 471.98 | $0.940 | $436.58 | -$7.08 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.999 | $8.27 | 1d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 20:20 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-23 20:50 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 20:50 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 20:20 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.79 on “Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 19 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 132 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.11K across 113 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 127.92 |
| $0.840 |
| $105.53 |
| -$1.92 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 113.5 | $0.920 | $103.85 | -$0.57 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 123.51 | $0.766 | $93.62 | -$1.01 |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 66.62 | $0.910 | $60.29 | -$0.33 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 55.92 | $0.921 | $51.72 | +$0.22 |
 Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 58.86 | $0.860 | $50.33 | -$0.29 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 49.32 | $0.940 | $46.11 | -$0.25 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 48.18 | $0.900 | $41.19 | -$2.17 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 56.5 | $0.720 | $40.4 | -$0.28 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 35.82 | $0.975 | $34.98 | +$0.04 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 32.05 | $0.974 | $31.28 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 33.32 | $0.930 | $30.49 | -$0.5 |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 in October? | No | 31.34 | $0.992 | $29.99 | -$1.1 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 30.41 | $0.830 | $25.74 | +$0.5 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 48.67 | $0.521 | $25.38 | +$0 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 24.31 | $0.992 | $24.11 | -$0.01 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 29.55 | $0.746 | $22.02 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 22.86 | $0.930 | $20.92 | -$0.34 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 20.8 | $0.979 | $20.22 | -$0.14 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 19.19 | $0.989 | $19.04 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 27.63 | $0.680 | $18.38 | -$0.41 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 18.62 | $0.990 | $18.35 | -$0.08 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 18.83 | $0.968 | $18.26 | +$0.03 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 18.2 | $0.992 | $18.13 | +$0.08 |
| buy |
| 11 |
| $0.250 |
| $2.75 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50.57 | $0.070 | $3.54 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.998 | $8.13 | 1d ago |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.96 | $0.770 | $12.29 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 471.98 | $0.940 | $443.66 | 1d ago |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in October?Yes | buy | 21.12 | $0.120 | $2.53 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.65 | $0.310 | $2.99 | 1d ago |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.530 | $3.21 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.79 | $0.570 | $3.3 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.700 | $3.53 | 1d ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.240 | $4.08 | 1d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.550 | $3.61 | 1d ago |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.890 | $4.7 | 1d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.772 | $4.92 | 1d ago |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of October?No | buy | 8.73 | $0.670 | $5.85 | 1d ago |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 7.77 | $0.770 | $5.98 | 1d ago |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $130 in October?Yes | buy | 37.63 | $0.319 | $12 | 1d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Yes | buy | 7.36 | $0.981 | $7.22 | 1d ago |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 20.85 | $0.986 | $20.56 | 1d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.88 | $0.160 | $8.46 | 1d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 7.64 | $0.950 | $7.26 | 1d ago |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 37.59 | $0.960 | $36.09 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.94 | $0.320 | $8.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 8.82 | $0.954 | $8.41 | 1d ago |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No | sell | 6.13 | $0.619 | $3.79 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 17.7 | $0.880 | $15.58 | 1d ago |
 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.620 | $17.98 | 1d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 23.12 | $0.210 | $4.86 | 1d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 66.79 | $0.045 | $3.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 30.44 | $0.850 | $25.87 | 1d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 16.22 | $0.910 | $14.76 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 7.58 | $0.900 | $6.82 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 85.52 | $0.920 | $78.68 | 1d ago |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.920 | $5.34 | 1d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 41.46 | $0.096 | $3.98 | 1d ago |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.950 | $5.22 | 1d ago |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.950 | $5.34 | 1d ago |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.790 | $5.38 | 1d ago |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.980 | $5.27 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.860 | $5.41 | 1d ago |
 Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.977 | $5.39 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.58 | $0.972 | $5.42 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.810 | $5.53 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.998 | $5.9 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.75 | $0.730 | $5.66 | 1d ago |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.975 | $6.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.981 | $5.8 | 1d ago |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.963 | $6.72 | 1d ago |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 110.8 | $0.050 | $5.54 | 1d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.