Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:00 PM UTC.
Analytics
smallnewt is down $542.55 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:00 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Mar 30, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 49.5 | $0.202 | $31.26 | +$21.26 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | 5h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-04 03:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
29 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 20:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 20:00 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-04 03:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $419.59 and losing ones cost $488.14 across the latest 50 settled positions. 34% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $114.14 on “Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?” (Yes); the largest loss, $35 on “Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 182 markets. Its open positions are worth $193.59 across 29 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.71 |
| $0.680 |
| $13.24 |
| +$3.24 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.08 | $0.710 | $12.04 | +$2.04 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.21 | $0.413 | $9.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.015 | $9.5 | +$4.5 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.070 | $9.29 | -$0.71 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 43.67 | $0.229 | $8.93 | -$1.07 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 500 | $0.020 | $6.5 | -$3.5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 125 | $0.160 | $6.06 | -$13.94 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 20 | $0.300 | $5.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 169.63 | $0.080 | $5 | -$8.57 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 198.96 | $0.201 | $4.97 | -$35.03 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40.44 | $0.148 | $4.85 | -$1.15 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 46.88 | $0.320 | $4.69 | -$10.31 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 26.21 | $0.153 | $4.65 | +$0.65 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 119.05 | $0.042 | $4.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 156.25 | $0.032 | $3.28 | -$1.72 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.630 | $2.78 | -$7.22 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.003 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? | Yes | 16.36 | $0.611 | $2.04 | -$7.96 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 20.2 | $0.200 | $1.83 | -$2.21 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.300 |
| $6 |
| 5h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | 5h ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 6h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 49.5 | $0.202 | $10 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 43.67 | $0.229 | $10 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.042 | $5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 113.46 | $0.044 | $5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?Yes | buy | 28.68 | $0.174 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 640.96 | $0.078 | $50 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | buy | 52.79 | $0.189 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 23.71 | $0.974 | $23.09 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.190 | $6 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | buy | 123.66 | $0.162 | $20 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.44 | $0.082 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 37.88 | $0.132 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 37.88 | $0.132 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 57.55 | $0.139 | $8 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40.4 | $0.198 | $8 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 91.22 | $0.055 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | buy | 105.36 | $0.028 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 84.87 | $0.240 | $20.37 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Yes | buy | 29.8 | $0.371 | $11.06 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 42.48 | $0.118 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 26.95 | $0.186 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.21 | $0.470 | $20.31 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.