
Resolved Yes on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83.2%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 5 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 95.5% on 26 Jun 2026 and the low 11% on 20 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 62 points up, to 95.5% on 26 Jun 2026. $294.18K traded over the market's life.
217 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 1:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 308 points, 5 Nov 2025 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | 43.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 83.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| f2hf84hg52h5 | No | 80.77K |
| 111111111111111 | No | 2.98K |
| labistiiia | No | 1K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify. If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify. Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide. If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mamdani-freeze-nyc-rents-before-2027
| norealtime | No | 1K |
| rogueEsper | Yes | 920.65 |
| 0xMQQ | No | 885.1 |
| myodds | No | 799.95 |
| alexfky | No | 730.77 |
| Rumpelstiltskin | No | 699.88 |
| cowcat | No | 618 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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