Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 67.47 | $0.917 | $64.03 | +$2.13 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.790 | $4.94 | 17d ago |
|
| No |
| 22.23 |
| $0.900 |
| $21.01 |
| +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20.33 | +$0.33 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20.32 | +$0.32 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20.24 | +$0.24 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.82 | $0.864 | $19.47 | +$1.47 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 13.64 | $0.880 | $12.07 | +$0.07 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10.76 | +$0.76 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 6.89 | $0.820 | $6.37 | +$0.72 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.29 | $0.946 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.71 | $0.876 | $4.51 | -$0.49 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 3.53 | $0.850 | $1.98 | -$1.02 |
| sell |
| 67.45 |
| $0.955 |
| $64.41 |
| 17d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.880 | $12 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 5.44 | $0.970 | $5.28 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.600 | $2.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 4.25 | $0.970 | $4.12 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.972 | $5.03 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.993 | $2.71 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ETUp | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ETUp | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.2 | $0.987 | $6.12 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.918 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ETUp | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.946 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 305.21 | $0.860 | $262.48 | May 7, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | May 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 4.26 | $0.978 | $4.17 | May 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.950 | $4.05 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.967 | $6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.51 | $0.810 | $3.65 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.860 | $8.78 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 8.83 | $0.994 | $8.78 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.960 | $4.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |