Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.550 | $4.51 | Nov 7, 2024 |
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| sell |
| 3.57 |
| $0.322 |
| $1.15 |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.975 | $3.35 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 173.75 | $0.288 | $50.04 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 156.46 | $0.319 | $49.91 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Senate control after 2024 election?Democrats | sell | 5.55 | $0.180 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 28.95 | $0.391 | $11.32 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.370 | $0.68 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | sell | 1.58 | $0.490 | $0.77 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.720 | $1.94 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.570 | $0.9 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.370 | $0.58 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.550 | $0.82 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.660 | $0.89 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump get more votes than 2020?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.760 | $0.97 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Bitcoin up on Nov 6?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.430 | $0.93 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will the AP call the election by November 6?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.590 | $0.89 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trump wins a solid blue state?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.820 | $0.96 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweepNo | sell | 1.13 | $0.870 | $0.98 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 19.54 | $0.391 | $7.64 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trump Rust Belt swing state sweep?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.660 | $0.92 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.760 | $0.82 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump win no swing states?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.98 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trump blowout victory?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.850 | $0.99 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump win Ohio by 12+ points?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.690 | $0.93 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will the AP call the election on November 6?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.450 | $0.98 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.630 | $1.05 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 48.93 | $0.393 | $19.23 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 39.96 | $0.360 | $14.39 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.530 | $1.15 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.640 | $1.25 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 20.62 | $0.370 | $7.63 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 13.99 | $0.320 | $4.48 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.420 | $3.15 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.340 | $2.24 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.713 | $2.24 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 31.68 | $0.380 | $12.04 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.42 | $0.530 | $2.34 | Nov 5, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Democratic | sell | 4.3 | $0.510 | $2.19 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | sell | 5.5 | $0.390 | $2.15 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.610 | $2.35 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.19 | $0.720 | $3.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 26.57 | $0.379 | $10.07 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trump wins every swing state?No | sell | 5.44 | $0.830 | $4.52 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 260.97 | $0.383 | $99.95 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 364.87 | $0.411 | $149.96 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 118.44 | $0.422 | $49.98 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.628 | $0.91 | Oct 31, 2024 |