Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59.5%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 68% on 30 Oct 2024 and the lowest 57.5% on 25 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 59.5% on 3 Nov 2024. $33.79K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 2:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 55%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 57.5% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DCCCALL | No | 9.63K |
| benjismarket | No | 120.68 |
| acc-1 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election by November 6, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/election-called-by
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