Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 20 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.8% on 19 Nov 2024 and the lowest 15.5% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 71 points up, to 98% on 7 Nov 2024. $696K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 21, 1:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 20 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 16.5% |
| 20 Nov 2024 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rectangular-Smoking | No | 3.25K |
| Derpaderp | No | 2.57K |
| Luxor | No | 500 |
| Iverson | No | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Donald Trump wins the popular vote in Florida in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 12.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once this state has certified the vote. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-win-florida-by-12-points
| FlorianDraxler | No | 140.85 |
| toto123409 | No | 125.81 |
| Spad54 | No | 73.53 |
| TradeCarl | No | 73.53 |
| longzhh | No | 60.24 |
| JBgfd | Yes | 55.91 |
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