Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 12 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 56.5% on 12 Jul 2024 and the low 0.2% on 7 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 32.5% on 13 Jul 2024. $1.52M traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 11:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 119 points · 12 Jul 2024 – 7 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2024 | 56.5% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nomadFrog | Yes | 30.6K |
| Carlyle | Yes | 19.64K |
| MojoInTexas | Yes | 5.88K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 100 or more electoral votes versus his closest competitor. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors shall have no effect on the outcome. This market's resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-blowout-victory
| Yes |
| 2.38K |
| Velli | Yes | 2.3K |
| gabexperience | Yes | 1.36K |
| jdawg1369 | Yes | 1.16K |
| MrNGMI | Yes | 750 |
| Suburban-Reward | Yes | 713.16 |
| egger | Yes | 678.57 |
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