Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 22%. Yes opened at 29% on 31 Oct 2024. Before it settled, the high was 29% on 31 Oct 2024 and the low 21.5% on 5 Nov 2024. $209.46K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 31 Oct 2024 – 6 Nov 2024 · axis zoomed to 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2024 | 29.0% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Melody626 | No | 8.05K |
| ClassicSilence | No | 394.74 |
| purplenurple-735 | No | 324.68 |
| JPAT | No | 295.77 |
| longzhh | No | 38.96 |
| cavn30 | Yes | 25.25 |
| RayRandomn | No | 6.76 |
| nils | No | 6.64 |
| xblesseer | No | 5 |
| kedves | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins every Rust Belt swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market considers the following states as "Rust Belt swing states": Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-rust-belt-swing-state-sweep
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