Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:44 AM UTC.
Analytics
Wasteroffunds is down $174.45 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:44 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 38 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Aug 3, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 72.46 | $0.690 | $47.46 | -$2.54 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | 3d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 22:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
39 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 09:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 09:44 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 22:57 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $169.97 and losing ones cost $173.67 across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $17.31 on “Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?” (Yes); the largest loss, $36.58 on “Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 488 markets. Its open positions are worth $81.74 across 39 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.49 |
| $0.069 |
| $9.6 |
| +$8.6 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.94 | +$0.94 |
 Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | No | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.280 | $1.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.200 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 2.5 | $0.400 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.69 | $0.138 | $0.8 | -$2.2 |
 Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 20.32 | $0.197 | $0.57 | -$3.43 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.030 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.039 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
| buy |
| 2.56 |
| $0.390 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
| Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 3d ago |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | 3d ago |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 10d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 14d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | 20d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.979 | $1.65 | 23d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 26d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 26d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.820 | $2.05 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.880 | $1.33 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.860 | $1.24 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.900 | $3.1 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.260 | $1.63 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.992 | $3.97 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.971 | $1.27 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.615 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.615 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.53 | $0.181 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.