Analytics
Wasteroffunds is down $174.45 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 72.46 | $0.690 | $47.46 | -$2.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 22:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
39 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 15:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 15:26 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 22:57 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $169.97 and losing ones cost $173.67 across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $17.31 on “Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?” (Yes); the largest loss, $36.58 on “Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?” (Yes).
It has traded 488 markets. Its open positions are worth $81.17 across 39 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.49 |
| $0.069 |
| $9.62 |
| +$8.62 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.94 | +$0.94 |
 Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | No | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1.7 | +$0.7 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.280 | $1.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
 AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.200 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 2.5 | $0.400 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.69 | $0.138 | $0.83 | -$2.17 |
 Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.77 | -$0.23 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 20.32 | $0.197 | $0.57 | -$3.43 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.030 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.039 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
