Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 105.82 | $0.019 | $1.53 | -$0.47 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in November?Yes | buy | 804.75 | $0.007 | $6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 469.65 |
| $0.013 |
| $6 |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.006 | $8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.004 | $8 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?Yes | buy | 726.78 | $0.006 | $4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.5% and 4.0%?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in November?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?Yes | buy | 113.69 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 336.71 | $0.009 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US stagflation in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.72K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 281.49 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| US stagflation in 2025?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 698.79 | $0.014 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the January Meeting?Yes | buy | 185.85 | $0.011 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.004 | $4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Yes | buy | 105.82 | $0.019 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.029 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.85 | $0.059 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 194.45 | $0.010 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 135.79 | $0.022 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.025 | $4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.050 | $4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by January 31?Yes | buy | 147.94 | $0.034 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?Yes | buy | 50.85 | $0.059 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.035 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Jan 24?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 RedNote removed from App Store in January?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 RedNote removed from App Store by Friday?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.010 | $2 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump save TikTok in first 100 days?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?Yes | buy | 35.83 | $0.084 | $3 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 17.14 | $0.292 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?No | buy | 172.86 | $0.029 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?No | buy | 196.17 | $0.025 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 US inauguration on January 20?No | buy | 58.76 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |