Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 35.5% on 9 Jan 2025 and the low 0.4% on 19 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 11.8% on 12 Jan 2025. $173.23K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 10:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 9 Jan 2025 – 20 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 35.5% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JLadd | Yes | 1.48K |
| SeaDweller | Yes | 752.25 |
| boxout | Yes | 588.24 |
| BWT | Yes | 549.62 |
| Pdandadan | Yes | 97.83 |
| wasGuessingAllAlong | Yes | 86.21 |
| quqaoo | Yes | 68.97 |
| castlejeins | Yes | 40 |
| Jht232 | Yes | 37.6 |
| Arielta01 | Yes | 25.93 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on predicting the date when the Palisades fire will be fully contained.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-palisades-fire-be-fully-contained
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