Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in November?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$25.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 13, 2026 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 13 Jan 2026, the highest close was 48% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 23% on 15 Nov 2025. $25.47K traded over the market's life.

39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:28 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 13 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Nov 2025	48.0%
13 Jan 2026	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	16.03K
Jade Harbor 37F3	Yes	1.18K
zonh	Yes	999.99

10 of 39 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in November 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for November 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on December 18, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.