Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 0.7% on 15 Jan 2025. $74.03K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 6:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 15 Jan 2025 – 18 Jan 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 0.7% |
| 18 Jan 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArthurGreen | Yes | 1.64K |
| chaching | Yes | 1.13K |
| MariaR | Yes | 142.83 |
| jeke1 | Yes | 15 |
| Geromi | No | 0.01 |
| aa11aaa | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Xiaohongshu (小红书, RedNote) iOS app is no longer available for download on the United States Apple App Store at any point between January 14, 11:00 AM and January 17, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the app is inaccessible due to technical issues with the App Store itself, this will not count as a removal. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rednote-xiaohongshu-removed-from-apple-app-store-by-friday
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