Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.7%. Yes opened at 96% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 164 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2024 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.2% on 16 Jan 2025 and the lowest 93.3% on 28 Oct 2024. $1.59M traded over the market's life.
216 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 7:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 164 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 20 Jan 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 96.0% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 98.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimothyDexter | No | 86.68K |
| thump365 | No | 40.04K |
| DaddyBets7 | No | 35.93K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the individual who is certified to have won the 2024 US presidential election is sworn in as President of the United States as-scheduled on January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-inauguration-on-january-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| davidvoops | No | 30.4K |
| Thuggish | No | 26.09K |
| Winner78 | No | 21.33K |
| D0cc | No | 17K |
| rusa999 | No | 7.75K |
| Jewishtricks | No | 4.04K |
| BlessedGuy | No | 3.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
