Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the January Meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$38.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 15, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 49% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 15 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 15 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 22.5% on 25 Dec 2025. $38.16K traded over the market's life.

31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 8:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 15 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Dec 2025	49.0%
15 Jan 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	16.83K
VassanaKlishta	Yes	655.5
byroman	Yes	427.09
NAA	Yes	279.09

10 of 31 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s January monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its January 15, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their January 15, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.