Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 73.5% on 14 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 76.5% on 9 Nov 2024. $756.78K traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 11:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 82.5% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wawavast | No | 17.47K |
| Jdawesome10 | No | 13.8K |
| iloveg4mbling | No | 6.2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump, specifically related to their actions on that date, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-pardons
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 1.18K |
| Bledardy | No | 1.02K |
| bobbylee69 | No | 1K |
| Coffee4MePlz | No | 904.88 |
| DigitalZ3R0 | No | 797.64 |
| Cosmic Quasar C8CD | No | 674.03 |
| Ravioliman | No | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
