Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Name: Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

9.9%

90.0%

Buy Yes 9.95¢Buy No 90.05¢

24h Volume

$26

Total volume

$220.7K

Liquidity

$3.7K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
olegs	Yes	18.39K	64.2%	$11.78K	Sep 28, 10:04 PM UTC
MaxEnt	No	6.03K	45.7%	$2.74K	Aug 1, 8:41 PM UTC
DongFangXiongDi	No	3.56K	36.4%	$1.29K
RubiksGus	Yes	2.96K	37.4%	$1.09K
XieGuangKun	No	1.85K	31.7%	$587.46
Donll	No	1.57K	76.8%	$1.21K
roflingbets	Yes	1.47K	66.0%	$971.08
Shocked-Petticoat	Yes	1.29K	24.6%	$300	Aug 29, 6:08 PM UTC
Sherpal	No	1.23K	9.1%	$112.26
SongXiaoFeng	No	1.08K	65.3%	$686.64
yulinjin	Yes	1.08K	18.4%	$188.15	Aug 31, 1:47 AM UTC
Lanay	No	1.04K	61.1%	$617.74
cryptoincome	Yes	1K	53.0%	$530
LLDLIMITED	No	989.82	78.0%	$760
bozotys	No	854.76	87.4%	$740.44	Oct 1, 3:27 AM UTC
SeniorLaghetto	Yes	846.89	49.7%	$419.37	Aug 21, 12:37 PM UTC
Odd-Relish	Yes	811.41	14.5%	$111.85	Oct 6, 7:39 AM UTC
Jopat	No	800	63.6%	$507.2
hahahahh	Yes	800	22.4%	$179.2
bensontth	No	703.57	19.0%	$133.49
niunai	Yes	657.43	42.8%	$281.64
cometoplay	No	635.41	47.2%	$295.49
ninario	No	600.09	76.3%	$450	Oct 9, 7:57 AM UTC
ke1pie	No	599.71	90.4%	$541.64	Oct 3, 8:09 AM UTC
BobInvestments	No	591.94	8.5%	$50.12
ValdeMURRR	No	530.96	68.5%	$355.81
DavidTrezeguet	No	487.72	81.7%	$393	Sep 28, 2:06 PM UTC
HUAWEInb	No	465.38	85.9%	$395.57	Aug 1, 7:38 AM UTC
Flamboyant-Warming	No	449.44	78.3%	$351.89	Oct 2, 8:34 AM UTC
Ermolka	No	429.99	83.2%	$357.75	Jul 28, 4:17 PM UTC
ourdemocracy2	No	381	79.1%	$296.9	Aug 2, 4:15 PM UTC
PushGO	No	360	75.2%	$270.72
abcdefmlzy	No	355.3	40.9%	$145.31
gngsta	No	340	75.1%	$255
Benzzak	No	330	77.5%	$255.75
Menu	No	330	15.0%	$49.5
Fancy-Snakebite	Yes	320	70.5%	$225.6
Abandoned-Roster	Yes	300	86.6%	$259.8
MetaSlush	No	300	85.2%	$255.6
Nothingtrue2000	No	299.99	74.6%	$223.69
Varenyk	No	294.11	79.8%	$233.38	Sep 22, 9:19 AM UTC
tianjiu	Yes	286.03	46.4%	$132.58
boobahero	Yes	282.37	44.0%	$120	Sep 19, 11:13 AM UTC
Slav4ik	No	273	82.8%	$224.08	Sep 21, 8:58 AM UTC
asdasdasdasdasdasdasd	No	272	80.0%	$214.58	Jul 23, 9:41 PM UTC
Alek9777	No	241.25	83.9%	$200	Sep 8, 9:20 PM UTC
Ketchyp	No	230	75.9%	$174.66
largos	No	226.22	60.8%	$137.29
gimmedatt	Yes	216.93	12.9%	$26.46	Oct 7, 8:15 PM UTC
Draggula	No	210	88.2%	$185.22
Square-Complicity	Yes	205.19	83.8%	$171.91
mini99	Yes	203.13	47.5%	$96.52
Pandazzz	No	200	82.0%	$164
zhyfacai	No	200	78.8%	$155.2
GrandMaXx95	Yes	193.34	30.0%	$55.39	Aug 2, 6:50 AM UTC
Varki	No	187.25	88.1%	$164.97
Lesgovi4	No	186.12	81.7%	$152.11
RiskyyLemon	No	179.07	25.0%	$44.77
guppie	No	167.37	29.9%	$50
popkinz	No	160	82.5%	$132
Ebeeer	No	150	82.0%	$123
greentia	No	150	83.1%	$124.2	Aug 22, 12:42 PM UTC
88mnm88	Yes	150	76.2%	$114.3
Pelmewka	No	140	80.3%	$112.42
ix-Man	No	133.28	89.1%	$117.82	Aug 10, 8:05 AM UTC
Velanda	No	133	88.0%	$117.04
codefly	Yes	132.21	22.4%	$28.1
Pawliuk	No	130	82.3%	$106.99
alijbee	No	129.36	79.2%	$101.65	Aug 20, 3:19 PM UTC
wikiss	Yes	126.62	20.0%	$24	Aug 20, 3:18 PM UTC
Maionez	No	124.08	84.6%	$104.96
w000t	Yes	123.08	17.9%	$21.44	Sep 2, 2:06 PM UTC
Yio-Yio	No	121.66	86.7%	$105.48
Donald-McDonald	No	120.99	82.8%	$100.18
TraxerMaxer	No	120	83.7%	$99.96	Sep 16, 7:51 AM UTC
S.machete	No	120	40.1%	$48.12
komolaa	No	118.58	88.5%	$104.94
876767	No	113.03	89.2%	$100	Aug 5, 4:02 AM UTC
Anjun	Yes	111	63.0%	$69.93
Svajob	No	111	88.9%	$98.01	Aug 9, 8:59 AM UTC
hackerman42	No	109.93	91.5%	$100
Elias.Thornwell	No	107.69	74.2%	$79.48	Sep 3, 9:05 PM UTC
BigHC	Yes	103.01	60.9%	$62.68
Vlad21	Yes	100	81.4%	$81.4
guanda1990	No	100	77.0%	$75.7
LornaPredicts	Yes	93.95	8.2%	$7.7
montishe	Yes	93	90.0%	$83.66
sanzchezcarlos	Yes	91	62.2%	$56.61
tazhai	No	87.55	22.8%	$20
taobao886	Yes	83.37	51.7%	$43.13
horriblebear	Yes	81.52	8.0%	$6.13	Oct 3, 10:20 PM UTC
AJSV	No	78.61	90.1%	$70.83	Sep 7, 10:12 PM UTC
Slow-Exhibit	Yes	77.02	17.3%	$12.59	Sep 15, 8:38 AM UTC
planktonXD	Yes	76.58	29.0%	$22.21
Xiaowangda25735	Yes	75.84	53.4%	$40.5
Silvervol	Yes	74.86	9.9%	$7	Oct 8, 9:10 PM UTC
pollyg	No	71.64	84.7%	$60	Aug 25, 7:36 PM UTC
wadsda	No	70.58	85.9%	$60	Aug 2, 5:06 AM UTC
Bridgevolume1	No	70.4	85.9%	$59.84	Aug 18, 11:46 AM UTC
DuneMentat	No	70.05	75.5%	$51.96	Jul 22, 4:56 PM UTC
AndreiDmitr	Yes	70	33.7%	$23.56
Misssa	No	70	78.7%	$55.09
fwed33	No	67.17	17.1%	$11.46
Soback	No	65.34	80.9%	$52.14	Sep 24, 11:28 AM UTC
Writhing-Declination	No	62.06	86.0%	$52.81	Sep 16, 2:58 PM UTC
BuD	Yes	61	14.5%	$8.85
melganis	No	60	31.1%	$18.66
Ser-Keiser	Yes	56.18	18.8%	$10	Sep 6, 9:55 AM UTC
04860	No	55	86.7%	$47.24	Sep 30, 3:47 AM UTC
Cultivated-Canal	No	54.9	38.0%	$20
svlch	No	51.41	38.9%	$20
Haradwaith	Yes	51.31	12.3%	$6.31
ejm	No	49	20.4%	$10
kuasuo	Yes	46.91	23.0%	$10.23	Sep 23, 1:56 PM UTC
Usable-Dome	No	46.48	44.7%	$20
shashivadhan	Yes	43.07	15.0%	$6.46
0xsatorisan	No	43	17.8%	$7.64
jjjclv6	Yes	40	59.1%	$23.64
Fabada	No	40	87.8%	$35.12
franzferdinand	No	38.64	22.4%	$8.67
Chingai	Yes	38	85.2%	$32.38
Frigid-Pusher	Yes	36	71.8%	$25.83
asianpengu	Yes	35	33.3%	$11.37
Colorful-Role	Yes	34.21	87.7%	$30
l492	Yes	33.11	62.8%	$20.79
Radiant-Fritter	No	32.82	59.2%	$19.43
mamamiyao	Yes	32.08	62.3%	$20
ethdragonfire	No	30.3	33.0%	$10
WendyBell7313	Yes	30	63.7%	$19.11
paas2	Yes	30	88.5%	$26.55
il1	No	29.99	85.7%	$25.43	Jul 30, 1:12 PM UTC
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	29.74	16.4%	$4.89
Enlightened-Succotash	Yes	28	71.7%	$20.08
Coral Quasar 524B	Yes	25.1	25.4%	$6
10000000000000	No	25	88.6%	$21.97	Aug 2, 9:10 AM UTC
TEKDPSD	No	23.16	54.0%	$12.51
ndrim07	Yes	22	11.6%	$2.55
RolloTomasi124	No	20.83	62.0%	$12.57
bertilio	Yes	20	65.7%	$13.14
GREYER	No	20	62.4%	$12.48
DSNClaude	No	20	40.5%	$8.09
Imaginative-Shoes	Yes	20	11.4%	$2.29
NEWblance	No	19.27	48.4%	$9
boomprofit	No	19.26	79.1%	$15
ineedmassage	No	19.1	17.0%	$3.24
Shawanderlust	No	17.65	85.9%	$15	Aug 1, 5:48 AM UTC
Eugenebetpro	Yes	17.01	91.7%	$15.6
zensekai	Yes	15.41	64.9%	$10
rickmorty	Yes	15	90.0%	$13.5
PPMT	No	15	92.8%	$13.92	Sep 16, 10:48 PM UTC
TrentonHorrowitz	Yes	14.73	80.9%	$11.92
Joseppe	Yes	14.69	98.7%	$14.5
b3nd3ntoluamor3	Yes	14.27	98.1%	$14
traderguruchi	Yes	14.23	77.3%	$11
awesamarth	No	13.97	35.8%	$5
SamoelBakri	Yes	13.77	83.5%	$11.5
alexantrade	No	13.37	35.3%	$4.72
oPushinPchegou	No	13.32	64.3%	$8.35
MiFann	No	12.85	48.4%	$6
Polymaster1	Yes	12.15	82.3%	$10
Cosmic Falcon 1C9A	Yes	12	12.4%	$1.4	Aug 9, 10:33 AM UTC
thomyorke-802	No	11.59	87.1%	$10	Sep 28, 6:02 PM UTC
LBZbot2	Yes	11.37	74.9%	$8.52
Phntxo	Yes	11	88.0%	$9.68
HolyDiver1	Yes	10.45	76.1%	$7.95
suntori	No	10.2	92.1%	$9.34	Oct 1, 5:04 PM UTC
businessborz95	Yes	10.18	98.4%	$10.02
kryptoatis	Yes	10.1	10.6%	$1	Oct 5, 10:33 AM UTC
oxhuaa	Yes	10	60.9%	$6.09
Biswabrata	Yes	10	19.7%	$1.97
p3eFbv0H3b	No	9.81	37.8%	$3.71
friendlya2	No	9.76	41.0%	$4
shu-shi	Yes	7.81	26.9%	$2	Aug 20, 3:17 PM UTC
LLWWPP	Yes	7.6	92.1%	$7
frek2024	Yes	7.43	88.9%	$6.6
ImBpoeet	No	7.33	40.9%	$3
xo.ox	No	7.31	39.3%	$2.87
GuyFromTinder	Yes	7	17.9%	$1.25
adascv	No	7	85.0%	$5.89	Aug 2, 5:03 AM UTC
gitbooker	Yes	6.75	74.1%	$5
whyareyoureadingthis	Yes	6.59	91.1%	$6
vnmhdr	Yes	6.54	91.8%	$6
vvdher	Yes	6.51	92.1%	$6
ZateyaA	Yes	6.4	62.5%	$4
Audazt	Yes	5.95	17.8%	$1	Jul 28, 7:08 PM UTC
candypie	Yes	5.76	86.8%	$5
2026CR7	Yes	5.68	18.8%	$1	Aug 17, 9:04 AM UTC
IceWindDale	Yes	5.12	97.6%	$5
julyrizvanova	No	5.08	19.7%	$1
Pelmeshik	Yes	5	80.0%	$4
15rob	Yes	5	83.1%	$4.16
iob	Yes	5	15.3%	$0.77	Sep 12, 2:14 PM UTC
Mimi88	Yes	5	60.8%	$3.04
Mr.Zonix	No	5	40.9%	$2.05
Pog	No	5	59.4%	$2.89
margarettecriss	Yes	4.93	62.9%	$3.1
EzellRasha	No	4.89	40.9%	$2
Neat-Robot	No	4.87	32.8%	$1.6
BRIGHT	Yes	4.8	62.5%	$3
thepolwinner	No	4.77	31.7%	$1.51
51dgfd	No	4.63	51.7%	$2.39
ttaass	Yes	4.47	62.7%	$2.8
Esco	No	4.37	22.9%	$1
Amber Oracle 7456	Yes	3.99	62.6%	$2.5
gozdenurbumbaca	Yes	3.98	62.8%	$2.5
neutralwave23	Yes	3.82	62.3%	$2.38
Royal Orbit 3E11	Yes	3.76	62.2%	$2.34
Neon Pulse F80A	No	3.75	40.0%	$1.5
hooper	Yes	3.44	62.5%	$2.15
mileiwin	No	3.39	89.1%	$3	Aug 4, 2:23 AM UTC
15rob	No	3.29	70.2%	$2.31
Unfeared	Yes	3.25	64.7%	$2.1
JeniferDH	Yes	3.19	62.6%	$2
Crisa	No	3.02	33.1%	$1
Quiet Horizon 44D7	No	2.99	67.2%	$1.96
Rapid Voyager F13B	No	2.9	36.1%	$1
comeback-trader-master	No	2.86	36.6%	$1
Lavincey	Yes	2.83	14.9%	$0.42
systane	Yes	2.8	72.8%	$2
Lunar Summit 36F2	Yes	2.75	72.8%	$2
Lunar Falcon 7954	Yes	2.75	72.8%	$2
ifreespirit	Yes	2.75	72.8%	$2
loftt	No	2.58	78.8%	$2
narend	No	2.55	40.9%	$1
Fabada	Yes	2.54	60.6%	$1.54
3fdgsdd	Yes	2.52	87.0%	$2.19
ChiangWan-an	No	2.52	59.4%	$1.5
loftrader	No	2.42	83.5%	$2	Aug 26, 2:13 AM UTC
biteran	No	2.26	89.1%	$2	Aug 4, 1:26 AM UTC
PredictTrader	No	2.26	89.1%	$2	Aug 6, 2:39 AM UTC
2453254	No	2.26	89.2%	$2	Aug 3, 4:18 AM UTC
tacoburrito	No	2.22	41.0%	$0.91
5132030	Yes	2.18	91.6%	$2	Aug 3, 3:41 AM UTC
baba888	Yes	2.07	20.0%	$0.39	Sep 21, 4:44 PM UTC
CopBotDumm	Yes	2	50.0%	$1
Jeffrey1233213	No	1.95	66.0%	$1.26
Minty-Fiddle	Yes	1.82	56.6%	$1
Closed-Poison	Yes	1.79	23.1%	$0.39	Sep 24, 9:31 AM UTC
qwasd2	Yes	1.78	89.8%	$1.6
Jade Ledger 0088	Yes	1.68	66.0%	$1.11
TrumpFight01	Yes	1.67	60.0%	$1
Imaginary-Spume	Yes	1.66	60.1%	$1
Keen Horizon AAB2	Yes	1.61	62.2%	$1
dogodos	Yes	1.58	64.7%	$1
rettung	Yes	1.58	64.8%	$1
Silver Scout 80BB	Yes	1.54	64.8%	$1
flybibo	No	1.43	71.4%	$1
vikkS	Yes	1.32	75.6%	$1
Fancy-Photo	No	1.29	81.2%	$1.03	Sep 22, 12:57 PM UTC
Researcher25	Yes	1.28	78.3%	$1
DHHNBCX1112	Yes	1.23	83.1%	$1.02
wyhfh1196	Yes	1.22	83.1%	$1.01
Supermanhel	Yes	1.21	82.8%	$1
Rapid Voyager C59B	Yes	1.21	82.8%	$1
PlayPudgyParty	Yes	1.21	82.8%	$1
OKEXFIGHT02	Yes	1.21	82.9%	$1
fdwgewgreytreh	Yes	1.2	83.0%	$1
5132030	No	1.13	89.2%	$1	Aug 3, 3:41 AM UTC
dacccc	Yes	1.06	93.9%	$1
andiyo	Yes	1.02	98.2%	$1
Coral Pioneer B900	Yes	1.01	63.0%	$0.64
Defenseless-Eyebrow	Yes	0.99	26.7%	$0.26
Cobalt Horizon 992B	No	0.92	63.9%	$0.57	Jul 24, 11:12 PM UTC
ati3349	No	0.73	21.7%	$0.16
Quiet Beacon 7EAB	No	0.63	83.7%	$0.52	Sep 6, 5:31 AM UTC
gonnakilmyslf	No	0.63	81.0%	$0.51
rocky42019	Yes	0.62	35.6%	$0.22
Hyperlong	No	0.51	84.3%	$0.43	Aug 29, 10:11 PM UTC
no1biao	Yes	0.5	70.2%	$0.35
pp101	No	0.45	54.7%	$0.24
yellowbull	Yes	0.44	80.0%	$0.35
Fruitful-Neighborhood	No	0.44	76.3%	$0.33	Jul 24, 11:12 PM UTC
jjeeesusssus	Yes	0.26	62.4%	$0.17
ijoker	No	0.24	67.7%	$0.16
Pointed-Pronunciation	Yes	0.23	15.5%	$0.04	Aug 20, 9:08 PM UTC
JohnJJJ	No	0.21	13.5%	$0.03
Golden Ledger E28E	Yes	0.15	21.4%	$0.03	Sep 23, 1:56 PM UTC

277 of 277 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
MaxEnt	$5.43K
DongFangXiongDi	$3.21K
olegs	$1.83K

Analytics