Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2.17K | $0.678 | $2.01K | +$536.75 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.912 |
| $1.91K |
| +$87 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.717 | $1.87K | +$436.09 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 2K | $0.566 | $1.35K | +$218.44 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 999.99 | $0.414 | $855 | +$441 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.5K | $0.350 | $772.5 | +$247.5 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 999.99 | $0.802 | $736.5 | -$65.5 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.47K | $0.249 | $682.17 | +$316.9 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 800 | $0.469 | $678.4 | +$303.22 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 747.19 | $0.374 | $638.85 | +$359.41 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 599.98 | $0.396 | $518.98 | +$281.24 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.340 | $509.04 | +$166.56 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 600 | $0.680 | $453 | +$45 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.580 | $381.6 | +$149.6 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 700 | $0.681 | $381.5 | -$95.5 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | No | 365.68 | $0.562 | $341.91 | +$136.26 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 700 | $0.590 | $339.5 | -$73.5 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.225 | $327 | +$192 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 608.74 | $0.362 | $301.32 | +$81.15 |
 Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.400 | $262.05 | +$142.05 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 499.99 | $0.310 | $252.49 | +$97.5 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 642.18 | $0.640 | $237.61 | -$173.48 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 400 | $0.770 | $234 | -$74 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 300 | $0.130 | $229.5 | +$190.5 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.590 | $229.5 | +$52.5 |
| buy |
| 1.48K |
| $0.910 |
| $1.34K |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.973 | $194.6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?No | buy | 300 | $0.983 | $294.9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.913 | $7.48 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.590 | $2.36K | Jun 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No | buy | 49.83 | $0.790 | $39.37 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.995 | $199 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.995 | $497.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.998 | $199.6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 104.9 | $0.710 | $74.48 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 999.98 | $0.760 | $759.98 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No | sell | 160 | $0.780 | $124.8 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 81.11 | $0.870 | $70.57 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | sell | 41.69 | $0.880 | $36.69 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | sell | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 170.8 | $0.880 | $150.3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No | sell | 122.82 | $0.999 | $122.7 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 3K | $0.545 | $1.63K | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 485 | $0.965 | $467.88 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 233.97 | $0.900 | $210.57 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | sell | 68.56 | $0.975 | $66.85 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?No | sell | 31.81 | $0.984 | $31.3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 1.8K | $0.984 | $1.77K | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Yes | buy | 337.38 | $0.044 | $14.68 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No | sell | 54.48 | $0.961 | $52.35 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.998 | $4.99K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 173.74 | $0.584 | $101.43 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 283.16 | $0.961 | $272 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.544 | $271.85 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kraken vs. JetsKraken | buy | 500 | $0.400 | $200 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Avalanche vs. BluesBlues | buy | 500 | $0.430 | $215 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Red WingsBlue Jackets | buy | 500 | $0.490 | $245 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.964 | $321.01 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 484 | $0.659 | $318.84 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 724.07 | $0.755 | $546.96 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 216.01 | $0.450 | $97.27 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bruins vs. PanthersPanthers | buy | 500 | $0.400 | $200 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Penguins vs. LightningPenguins | buy | 500 | $0.410 | $205 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Blues vs. DucksBlues | buy | 500 | $0.450 | $225 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Red Wings vs. FlyersFlyers | buy | 500 | $0.500 | $250 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Capitals vs. DevilsDevils | buy | 500 | $0.510 | $255 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Predators vs. KingsKings | buy | 500 | $0.530 | $265 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Sabres vs. SenatorsSenators | buy | 500 | $0.530 | $265 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. SharksSharks | buy | 500 | $0.540 | $270 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Utah vs. KrakenUtah | buy | 500 | $0.570 | $285 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. HurricanesHurricanes | buy | 500 | $0.640 | $320 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.802 | $240.56 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 118.6 | $0.840 | $99.62 | Apr 2, 2026 |