Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.500 | $4.08 | +$1.58 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.720 | $1.29 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.01 |
| $0.778 |
| $3.4 |
| +$0.28 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.8 | $0.532 | $3.32 | +$1.3 |
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 4.9 | $0.718 | $3.31 | -$0.21 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.56 | $0.289 | $3.29 | +$2.26 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 7.81 | $0.695 | $3.09 | -$2.34 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 3.81 | $0.653 | $3.03 | +$0.54 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 2.75 | $0.807 | $2.4 | +$0.18 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 2.87 | $0.390 | $2.28 | +$1.16 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.39 | $0.854 | $2.22 | +$0.18 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2.59 | $0.828 | $2.15 | +$0.01 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.54 | $0.875 | $2.15 | -$0.07 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.400 | $1.62 | +$0.41 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.77 | $0.730 | $1.62 | +$0.33 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 2.59 | $0.440 | $1.45 | +$0.31 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.9 | $0.680 | $1.39 | +$0.1 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 8.48 | $0.271 | $1.29 | -$1.01 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.764 | $1.29 | +$0.28 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.51 | $0.670 | $1.27 | +$0.26 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 1.79 | $0.720 | $1.27 | -$0.02 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.682 | $1.24 | +$0.19 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.818 | $1.18 | +$0.16 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1.5 | $0.706 | $1.11 | +$0.05 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.861 | $1.1 | +$0.08 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.44 | $0.710 | $1.06 | +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 1.54 |
| $0.682 |
| $1.05 |
| 1d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.540 | $1.04 | 5d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.710 | $1.02 | 5d ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.869 | $1.05 | 7d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.838 | $1.11 | 9d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.440 | $1.14 | 10d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.817 | $1.01 | 13d ago |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.720 | $1.13 | 13d ago |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.720 | $1.22 | 13d ago |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.715 | $1.17 | 15d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.864 | $1.18 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.588 | $1.01 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.640 | $1.08 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.685 | $1.04 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.773 | $1.01 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.814 | $1.29 | 27d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.860 | $1.03 | 27d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.610 | $1.21 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.762 | $1.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.760 | $1.1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.650 | $1.29 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.520 | $1.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.610 | $1.09 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.400 | $1.21 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.570 | $1.06 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.700 | $1.28 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.570 | $1.21 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.26 | $0.570 | $1.29 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.706 | $1.06 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.870 | $1.15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.56 | $0.289 | $1.03 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.730 | $1.29 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.880 | $1.07 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.42 | $0.500 | $1.21 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.500 | $1.29 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.818 | $1.02 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.789 | $1.06 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.789 | $1.18 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.670 | $1.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.718 | $1.22 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.739 | $1.04 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.680 | $1.29 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.847 | $1.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.817 | $1.03 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.502 | $1.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.502 | $1.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.502 | $1.14 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.502 | $1.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |