Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 140 | $0.600 | $128.1 | +$44.1 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Token Sale on Coinbase by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 73.92 | $0.820 | $60.61 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 120 |
| $0.401 |
| $101.88 |
| +$53.76 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 43.29 | $0.941 | $42.29 | +$1.56 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 26 | $0.920 | $25.17 | +$1.25 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 23 | $0.925 | $22.14 | +$0.86 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 22 | $0.940 | $21.34 | +$0.66 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20.61 | +$0.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.910 | $19.73 | +$1.53 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | No | 20 | $0.720 | $16.4 | +$2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 65.02 | $0.077 | $10.99 | +$5.99 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 20 | $0.540 | $3.1 | -$7.7 |
| buy |
| 21 |
| $0.862 |
| $18.1 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.995 | $28.86 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 33 | $0.996 | $32.87 | May 22, 2026 |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.940 | $20.68 | May 22, 2026 |
 SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.984 | $43.3 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes | sell | 46.04 | $0.988 | $45.49 | May 22, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.984 | $19.68 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 57.49 | $0.961 | $55.25 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 26 | $0.920 | $23.92 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 23 | $0.925 | $21.28 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 181 | $0.013 | $2.35 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 40.57 | $0.840 | $34.08 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.77 | $0.984 | $25.36 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 28.95 | $0.989 | $28.63 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.48 | $0.982 | $21.09 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 43.29 | $0.941 | $40.74 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes | buy | 46.04 | $0.959 | $44.13 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 19.67 | $0.115 | $2.26 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.09 | $0.056 | $4.82 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 90.36 | $0.995 | $89.91 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 29.49 | $0.962 | $28.37 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)Josh Emmett | buy | 18.49 | $0.190 | $3.51 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 43.11 | $0.900 | $38.8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 28 | $0.959 | $26.85 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 31.4 | $0.933 | $29.3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 18.66 | $0.981 | $18.31 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.963 | $17 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.060 | $1.8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 16.36 | $0.917 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.110 | $196.91 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 30 | $0.965 | $28.95 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.942 | $32.97 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.994 | $23.86 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 539 | $0.132 | $71.15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.34 | $0.949 | $41.13 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 32.47 | $0.998 | $32.41 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.25 | $0.130 | $4.19 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 259 | $0.009 | $2.33 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Volodymyr Zelenskyy in jail by December 31?No | buy | 33.46 | $0.995 | $33.29 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.020 | $1.16 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 30.2 | $0.973 | $29.38 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 37.51 | $0.290 | $10.88 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 30.74 | $0.976 | $30 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 25.75 | $0.971 | $25 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?No | buy | 52.54 | $0.999 | $52.49 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 16.43 | $0.890 | $14.62 | Nov 1, 2025 |