Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 161.11 | $0.724 | $137.18 | +$20.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 157.07 | $0.940 | $147.65 | 20d ago |
 |
| No |
| 184.5 |
| $0.628 |
| $124.54 |
| +$8.62 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 80 | $0.910 | $79.48 | +$6.68 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 70.05 | $0.939 | $69.63 | +$3.83 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 440.97 | $0.214 | $63.94 | -$30.36 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 63.2 | $0.651 | $59.09 | +$17.94 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.99 | $0.917 | $57.8 | +$2.81 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 68.36 | $0.560 | $56.91 | +$18.61 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 49.99 | $0.922 | $49.11 | +$3.02 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 50.15 | $0.907 | $48.37 | +$2.87 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 50.09 | $0.510 | $47.46 | +$21.9 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 90.68 | $0.470 | $46.7 | +$4.08 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 52.76 | $0.724 | $44.06 | +$5.87 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.942 | $39.16 | +$1.46 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 35.9 | $0.922 | $34.81 | +$1.7 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 40 | $0.850 | $34.6 | +$0.6 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 31.05 | $0.930 | $30.17 | +$1.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.943 | $29.21 | +$0.91 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.860 | $26.85 | +$1.05 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 37.64 | $0.860 | $26.16 | -$6.21 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 29.77 | $0.610 | $22.48 | +$4.32 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 40 | $0.430 | $19.8 | +$2.6 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.11 | $0.925 | $19.66 | +$1.06 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 20.03 | $0.948 | $19.56 | +$0.56 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.855 | $19 | +$1.9 |
| sell |
| 239.29 |
| $0.840 |
| $201 |
| 20d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 295.93 | $0.962 | $284.8 | 20d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 160 | $0.930 | $148.8 | 20d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 391.06 | $0.710 | $277.65 | 20d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 327.47 | $0.920 | $301.27 | 20d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.677 | $6.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 24.57 | $0.680 | $16.71 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.677 | $6.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.32 | $0.627 | $8.35 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.79 | $0.198 | $3.72 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 41.05 | $0.038 | $1.56 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No | buy | 165.27 | $0.330 | $54.54 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 73.57 | $0.126 | $9.27 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 79.85 | $0.610 | $48.71 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 92.33 | $0.060 | $5.54 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 77.11 | $0.440 | $33.93 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.920 | $9.19 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 14.56 | $0.160 | $2.33 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 14.58 | $0.190 | $2.77 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 18.48 | $0.210 | $3.88 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.92 | $0.950 | $17.02 | Jun 22, 2026 |