Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | No | 158.72 | $0.704 | $126.89 | +$15.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 441.71 | $0.298 | $131.69 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 122.56 |
| $0.882 |
| $114.23 |
| +$6.08 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 91.36 | $0.720 | $90.4 | +$24.65 |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | No | 76.88 | $0.574 | $65.43 | +$21.31 |
 Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 42.02 | $0.808 | $41.71 | +$7.75 |
 Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 224.13 | $0.688 | $29.59 | -$124.56 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | No | 36.23 | $0.665 | $28.08 | +$3.97 |
 Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 26.89 | $0.911 | $25.6 | +$1.1 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | No | 30.33 | $0.922 | $24.88 | -$3.07 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%? | No | 24.66 | $0.891 | $24.24 | +$2.25 |
 Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | No | 20.41 | $0.912 | $19.49 | +$0.88 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 18.3 | $0.942 | $17.71 | +$0.48 |
 Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? | No | 16.88 | $0.933 | $16.85 | +$1.11 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 30 | $0.199 | $16.13 | +$10.16 |
 Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 14.61 | $0.912 | $14.59 | +$1.26 |
 Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.057 | $14.57 | +$12.86 |
 Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 12.25 | $0.849 | $12.08 | +$1.68 |
 Will Oakland Athletics win the 2026 AL West title? | No | 11.44 | $0.894 | $11.43 | +$1.21 |
 Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 11.22 | $0.931 | $10.23 | -$0.21 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 60 | $0.371 | $9.69 | -$12.57 |
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 12.94 | $0.240 | $9.34 | +$6.23 |
 Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | No | 12.02 | $0.880 | $9.13 | -$1.45 |
| Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | No | 9.1 | $0.901 | $8.8 | +$0.6 |
| Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 59.44 | $0.048 | $8.62 | +$5.79 |
 Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | 58.84 | $0.045 | $8.3 | +$5.65 |
| buy |
| 149.24 |
| $0.984 |
| $146.8 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.997 | $199.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?No | sell | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | May 30, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 76.31 | $0.998 | $76.16 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | sell | 758.59 | $0.003 | $2.28 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | sell | 758.59 | $0.034 | $25.79 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | sell | 1.79K | $0.999 | $1.79K | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 630.89 | $0.004 | $2.52 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | sell | 99.98 | $0.999 | $99.88 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | sell | 72.5 | $0.800 | $58 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No | sell | 810.34 | $0.850 | $688.79 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 99.25 | $0.853 | $84.66 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs?No | sell | 9.04 | $0.999 | $9.03 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will "House Tour" get between 13 and 14 million views in the first week?No | sell | 74.08 | $0.999 | $74.01 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.4 | $0.999 | $33.37 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | buy | 6.84 | $0.810 | $5.54 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | buy | 6.84 | $0.810 | $5.54 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?No | sell | 50.04 | $0.999 | $49.99 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?No | buy | 161.75 | $0.959 | $155.16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes | sell | 23.73 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes | sell | 9.23 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.909 | $454.5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.340 | $340 | Apr 8, 2026 |