What is the “Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Gemini 3.2 released on...?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on May 19, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($254.11K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 108 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 72.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 20, 7:23 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-gemini-3pt2-be-released-on-may-19) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? | Polymarket odds & analytics

Vultaxbeta

Delayed

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-gemini-3pt2-be-released-on-may-19Updated May 20, 2026

Closed

Scheduled close May 19, 2026

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Observed Yes 100¢Observed No 0¢

24h Volume

$254.1K

Scheduled close

May 19, 2026

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 20, 2026

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

100.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

108

Wallets

108

Top 10 share

72%

Yes / No shares

80.82 / 62.03K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

234

Loaded notional

Reported market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	15.71K	0.0%	$0
firebat	No	8.04K	5.2%	$8.04K	May 19, 12:23 PM

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Gemini 3.2 released on...?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on May 19, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public. Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($254.11K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
KasraDashSEO	$59.52
Ledy	$9.78
Golden Meteor 8C38	$5.14
Qlerto	$4.13
lappi9	$2.25
Indigo Signal 2966	$0
firebat	$0
troim	$0
Keen-Newsstand	$0
Sociable-Bore	$0
SHOTHERS	$0
sunistap	$0