Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 100.99 | $0.014 | $1.41 | May 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 430.49 |
| $0.007 |
| $3 |
| May 26, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.007 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | May 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.022 | $3 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | buy | 69.43 | $0.101 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?Yes | buy | 127.79 | $0.016 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?Yes | buy | 99.72 | $0.010 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 537.52 | $0.188 | $101 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Yes | buy | 118.72 | $0.240 | $28.49 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 580.62 | $0.026 | $15 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?No | buy | 30.53 | $0.033 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?Yes | buy | 86.22 | $0.015 | $1.28 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?Yes | buy | 48.36 | $0.021 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?Yes | buy | 46.09 | $0.043 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in May 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes | sell | 60.68 | $0.004 | $0.24 | May 16, 2026 |
| Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes | buy | 5.3K | $0.005 | $26 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.292 | $7.3 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?Yes | buy | 313.39 | $0.016 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.028 | $10.08 | May 16, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?No | buy | 30 | $0.349 | $10.47 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?Yes | buy | 25.14 | $0.043 | $1.07 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 9.75 | $0.160 | $1.56 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?Yes | buy | 442.68 | $0.025 | $11 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | sell | 5.13 | $0.977 | $5.01 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?Yes | sell | 43.82 | $0.999 | $43.78 | May 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.898 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 11 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.800 | $30 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?Yes | buy | 51.24 | $0.029 | $1.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 137.54 | $0.007 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | buy | 71.65 | $0.499 | $35.74 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.360 | $5.62 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.347 | $2.65 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | buy | 35 | $0.290 | $10.15 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | buy | 7.63 | $0.131 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.195 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?Yes | buy | 43.82 | $0.090 | $3.94 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |