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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 3.36K | $0.871 | $2.9K | -$20.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 587.24 | $0.636 | $373.67 | 6d ago |
| Yes |
| 1.38K |
| $0.943 |
| $1.24K |
| -$60.92 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.34K | $0.856 | $1.23K | +$78.69 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.855 | $1.09K | +$150.65 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | No | 1.07K | $0.910 | $1.02K | +$48.01 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 957.07 | $0.960 | $935.06 | +$16.6 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? | No | 1.27K | $0.684 | $859.32 | -$11.2 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | No | 992.31 | $0.809 | $748.7 | -$54.22 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 742.33 | $0.668 | $497.36 | +$1.44 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | 530.74 | $0.837 | $440.51 | -$3.73 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Yes | 398.86 | $0.948 | $387.29 | +$9.37 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 435.8 | $0.762 | $381.33 | +$49.3 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 450.29 | $0.636 | $352.8 | +$66.28 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | No | 418.44 | $0.726 | $323.24 | +$19.5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | Yes | 300.01 | $0.608 | $237.01 | +$54.57 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 113.83 | $0.834 | $93.34 | -$1.56 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 123.28 | $0.706 | $91.66 | +$4.61 |
 Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 43.75 | $0.890 | $38.72 | -$0.22 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 435.43 | $0.210 | $37.01 | -$54.54 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 78.44 | $0.385 | $24.71 | -$5.45 |
 Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 61.99 | $0.018 | $18.47 | +$17.36 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 16.83 | $0.035 | $13.93 | +$13.33 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 365.43 | $0.050 | $9.68 | -$8.56 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.740 | $7.9 | +$0.5 |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 88 | $0.034 | $5.76 | +$2.76 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?Yes| buy |
| 66 |
| $0.990 |
| $65.34 |
| 7d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?No | buy | 106 | $0.610 | $64.66 | 7d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No | buy | 70.27 | $0.814 | $57.22 | 7d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?No | sell | 126.1 | $0.813 | $102.52 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 263.33 | $0.007 | $1.88 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 91.27 | $0.650 | $59.33 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 901.09 | $0.922 | $830.56 | 8d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.969 | $976.68 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 174 | $0.040 | $6.96 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 683.3 | $0.943 | $644.35 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 148.21 | $0.971 | $143.91 | 8d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.982 | $235.58 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 365.43 | $0.050 | $18.24 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 50.5 | $0.049 | $2.5 | 8d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 207.44 | $0.350 | $72.6 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 278.86 | $0.959 | $267.53 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?No | buy | 361.74 | $0.671 | $242.89 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 520.32 | $0.968 | $503.67 | 9d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.965 | $48.25 | 9d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.860 | $1.3K | 9d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No | buy | 241.7 | $0.081 | $19.49 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 76.8 | $0.620 | $47.62 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 76.8 | $0.580 | $44.54 | 9d ago |
 Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 274.52 | $0.954 | $261.8 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 206.99 | $0.110 | $22.77 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 277.77 | $0.820 | $227.77 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 339.64 | $0.260 | $88.15 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 75 | $0.170 | $12.75 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 189.6 | $0.170 | $32.23 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.155 | $216.43 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.330 | $330 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 292 | $0.648 | $189.19 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.195 | $97.54 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.775 | $108.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 140.13 | $0.793 | $111.12 | 9d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.009 | $4.5 | 9d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.009 | $4.5 | 9d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 155.19 | $0.950 | $147.42 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 336.56 | $0.190 | $63.95 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 922.97 | $0.369 | $341 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 611.71 | $0.567 | $346.62 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.590 | $295 | 9d ago |