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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | Yes | 4.46K | $0.061 | $107.1 | -$166.88 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.05K | $0.050 | $202.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 649.25 |
| $0.643 |
| $88.62 |
| -$328.93 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 2.09K | $0.156 | $67.98 | -$258.61 |
| sell |
| 3K |
| $0.130 |
| $390 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.07K | $0.029 | $59.74 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No | buy | 177.53 | $0.550 | $97.64 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 231.42 | $0.230 | $53.23 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.197 | $59.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 4.3K | $0.277 | $1.19K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.03K | $0.174 | $874.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.04 | $0.173 | $3.64 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.036 | $89.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.070 | $105 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.55 | $0.999 | $0.55 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes | buy | 311.49 | $0.080 | $24.92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.016 | $15.96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.73K | $0.160 | $436.87 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.170 | $0.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.284 | $356.09 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 26.4 | $0.462 | $12.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.080 | $81.02 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 304.5 | $0.910 | $277.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.740 | $1.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes | sell | 7K | $0.004 | $28 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 531 | $0.282 | $149.51 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.100 | $207.22 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.070 | $0.91 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.026 | $53.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 705 | $0.003 | $2.12 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes | sell | 990 | $0.002 | $1.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 845.19 | $0.009 | $7.75 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.002 | $8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.008 | $16.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 112.04 | $0.160 | $17.93 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.62K | $0.191 | $501.15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.19K | $0.007 | $69.14 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4K | $0.050 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 15.99 | $0.800 | $12.79 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 508.51 | $0.050 | $25.43 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 85.96K | $0.008 | $687.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.580 | $12.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.01 | $0.590 | $7.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.49 | $0.590 | $13.27 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes | buy | 45.7 | $0.580 | $26.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.83K | $0.014 | $95.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.120 | $209.82 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |