Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 63.39 | $0.978 | $63.3 | +$1.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky HijikataDaniel Altmaier | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.02 |
| $0.830 |
| $5.73 |
| +$0.73 |
| buy |
| 5.38 |
| $0.930 |
| $5 |
| May 18, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 4.13 | $0.969 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.983 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.964 | $5.3 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs1win | buy | 3.42 | $0.570 | $1.95 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 PlayoffsTYLOO | buy | 10.09 | $0.990 | $9.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be less than $9.0B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.866 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 11.52 | $0.955 | $11 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 63.39 | $0.978 | $62 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will a hurricane form by May 31?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Avangard OmskAvtomobilist Yekaterinburg | buy | 8.82 | $0.680 | $6 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs Nexus (BO1) - DraculaN Group ANexus | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 13.06 | $0.842 | $11 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 21.21 | $0.990 | $21 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No | buy | 20.87 | $0.958 | $20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?No | buy | 28.14 | $0.995 | $28 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Eduardo Artés win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.999 | $22 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Dilan Yeşilgöz out as VVD leader before Netherlands election?No | buy | 55.58 | $0.998 | $55.47 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 13.06 | $0.996 | $13 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 25.3 | $0.970 | $24.54 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration by September 30?No | buy | 42.13 | $0.997 | $42 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 22-24 ET?No | buy | 21.04 | $0.998 | $21 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?No | buy | 12.3 | $0.976 | $12 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?No | buy | 8.25 | $0.970 | $8 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 187.79 | $0.501 | $94.1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 201.89 | $0.520 | $105 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 X and Truth Social merger announced before August?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.984 | $7 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 8.97 | $0.992 | $8.9 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Solana all time high by June 30?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.987 | $6 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.960 | $3.8 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Yoon flee South Korea before July?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.985 | $2.5 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 New Netherlands election announced before Summer Recess?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.980 | $6.2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland before July?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.996 | $1.7 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.987 | $4 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $310b on May 31?No | buy | 2.26K | $0.998 | $2.25K | May 31, 2025 |
 Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.983 | $5.11 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will 'The Brave' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | May 8, 2025 |