Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 13.5% on 15 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 31 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 13.5% on 19 Aug 2025. $95.02K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 15 Aug 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | 13.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ErinS | Yes | 8.54K |
| lissartter | Yes | 1.65K |
| Winfredo | Yes | 379.37 |
| Amp- | Yes | 377.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, re-recordings of previously released songs will not count, only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-taylor-swift-release-a-new-original-song-by-august-31
| MastetsaM | Yes | 276.92 |
| Midwayne | Yes | 199.94 |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 182 |
| Pricey-Fat | Yes | 130.31 |
| LastChanceSaloon | No | 109 |
| Loqox | Yes | 100 |
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