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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?Yes | sell | 330.08 | $0.053 | $17.64 | Sep 18, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 101.35 |
| $0.900 |
| $91.22 |
| Sep 17, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 145.31 | $0.091 | $13.17 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.103 | $15.41 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 214.74 | $0.057 | $12.24 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.86K | $0.001 | $2.86 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.530 | $0.53 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.450 | $40.95 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.400 | $120 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.83 | $0.400 | $6.33 | Sep 11, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Sep 11, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 86.37 | $0.320 | $27.64 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 45.37 | $0.076 | $3.45 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.076 | $60.8 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.173 | $34.6 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 10 | $0.192 | $1.92 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 233 | $0.380 | $88.54 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.058 | $59.2 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.5 | $0.045 | $2.99 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.240 | $0.32 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $9.98 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.56K | $0.080 | $124.59 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.043 | $8.67 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.240 | $240 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 582 | $0.240 | $139.68 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.150 | $225 | Aug 22, 2025 |
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?No | buy | 114.81 | $0.650 | $74.63 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.370 | $11.1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 502 | $0.048 | $24.1 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.435 | $78.3 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?Yes | sell | 290 | $0.370 | $107.3 | Aug 19, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 666 | $0.270 | $179.82 | Aug 19, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.260 | $260 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?Yes | buy | 580 | $0.374 | $217 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 534.59 | $0.210 | $112.26 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.690 | $897.05 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?No | buy | 60 | $0.700 | $42 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.220 | $44 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.230 | $230 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.230 | $460 | Aug 14, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.206 | $343.25 | Aug 14, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.189 | $244.74 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.205 | $409.16 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.200 | $400 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.240 | $72 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.240 | $336 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.200 | $400 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?Yes | sell | 301.26 | $0.999 | $300.96 | Aug 12, 2025 |