Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 26% on 1 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 96 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2025 to 4 Nov 2025, the highest close was 40% on 12 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 40% on 12 Oct 2025. $6.15M traded over the market's life.
255 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 96 points, 1 Aug 2025 – 4 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2025 | 26.0% |
| 4 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| uravgtiktoktrader | Yes | 195K |
| poorlymarkt | Yes | 136K |
| mattypbets | Yes | 113.58K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Confirmation must come directly from Katy Perry or Justin Trudeau or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/katy-perry-and-justin-trudeau-confirmed-relationship-by-october-31
| Yes |
| 70K |
| kanelfc | Yes | 45K |
| gamblingaddict100 | Yes | 41.91K |
| 359 | Yes | 31K |
| Keen Atlas D865 | Yes | 30K |
| rsavvy | Yes | 24.75K |
| fazza3 | Yes | 22.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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