Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.2% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 1.2% on 23 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Oct 2025. $12.21K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 1.2% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aqua54 | Yes | 289.84 |
| Sherexis | Yes | 189.94 |
| pedro2025 | Yes | 179.91 |
| Staid-Purse | Yes | 145.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration between September 22 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-rejoin-the-trump-administration-by-september-30
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 132.94 |
| Hennyhenny | Yes | 111.11 |
| yhngs | Yes | 83.33 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 0.23 |
| daroghi | No | 0.01 |
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