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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.913 | $48.73 | +$3.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 907.7 | $0.011 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.26K |
| $0.079 |
| $100 |
| May 19, 2026 |
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.096 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 40.32 | $0.570 | $23 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 47.88 | $0.731 | $35 | May 11, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | May 9, 2026 |
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 114.55 | $0.044 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | May 9, 2026 |
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.62 | $0.839 | $50 | May 9, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.913 | $45.65 | May 9, 2026 |
Will ExtraEmily win Streamer of the Year at the 2025 Streamer Awards?Yes | buy | 275.52 | $0.073 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will PlaqueBoyMax win Streamer of the Year at the 2025 Streamer Awards?Yes | buy | 150.29 | $0.133 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 29.76K | $0.995 | $29.61K | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 3.17K | $0.013 | $40 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 93.02 | $0.430 | $40 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 699.14 | $0.029 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will the Israel–Iran conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?Yes | buy | 272.33 | $0.147 | $40 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 6.73K | $0.003 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?Yes | buy | 494.05 | $0.081 | $40 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.014 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.018 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.017 | $40 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.039 | $40 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 977.62 | $0.041 | $40 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 3.1K | $0.019 | $60 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 726.22 | $0.028 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.037 | $40 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Sinners be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 540.26 | $0.037 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 232.47 | $0.086 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.029 | $60 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 5.14K | $0.019 | $100 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 581.1 | $0.034 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 460.71 | $0.043 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.039 | $100 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 112.95 | $0.354 | $40 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 202.29 | $0.099 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
D4vd arrested by December 31?No | buy | 48.48 | $0.825 | $40 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 381.96 | $0.052 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Travis Kelce be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes | buy | 381.35 | $0.052 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?Yes | buy | 22.86 | $0.875 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.015 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Death Stranding 2: On the Beach win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 44.43 | $0.450 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Peak win Best Multiplayer Game at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 95.9 | $0.209 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.9 | $0.445 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 218.26 | $0.092 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |