Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.6%. Yes opened at 51% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 66% on 16 May 2026 and the low 2.6% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 49.5% on 13 Feb 2026. $90.33K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 2:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 128 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 51.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 48xsds | Yes | 1.66K |
| Loathsome-Itinerary | Yes | 1.28K |
| S888 | Yes | 610.57 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini 3 model with a score of at least the specified score by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/google-gemini-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 227.27 |
| cz2030 | Yes | 211.53 |
| FastFormula1 | Yes | 199.71 |
| AthenianAlphas | Yes | 184.05 |
| jayhawkjeff | Yes | 157.98 |
| Powerless-Kilt | Yes | 100 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 94 |
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