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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 141.03 | $0.780 | $124.81 | +$14.81 |
 US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | May 23, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 700 |
| $0.324 |
| $52.5 |
| -$174.5 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $15.5 | -$4.5 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.380 | $7.11 | -$12.89 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 1.67K | $0.006 | $5.83 | -$4.17 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | Yes | 20.01 | $0.450 | $2.9 | -$6.1 |
| buy |
| 141.03 |
| $0.780 |
| $110 |
| May 11, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.036 | $3.78 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 63.81 | $0.019 | $1.21 | May 8, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 151.12 | $0.986 | $149 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 151.12 | $0.662 | $100 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 279.62 | $0.936 | $261.72 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.100 | $153.85 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 279.62 | $0.715 | $200 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 266.17 | $0.170 | $45.25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.014 | $16.76 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.320 | $192 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.030 | $56.97 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.039 | $60 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 220.58 | $0.347 | $76.47 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 126.27 | $0.158 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 731.78 | $0.601 | $439.71 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 345.75 | $0.650 | $224.74 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 248.15 | $0.161 | $40 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 331.1 | $0.220 | $72.84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.001 | $1.09 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?Yes | sell | 362.36 | $0.001 | $0.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?Yes | buy | 16.44 | $0.049 | $0.81 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?Yes | buy | 17.66 | $0.046 | $0.81 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?Yes | buy | 23.66 | $0.048 | $1.14 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 461.77 | $0.810 | $374.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.007 | $9.59 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 241.54 | $0.399 | $96.29 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.140 | $9.8 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.140 | $9.8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 241.55 | $0.414 | $100 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 185.04 | $0.122 | $22.5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.210 | $4.47 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 61.67 | $0.129 | $7.97 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 239.01 | $0.867 | $207.22 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 270.27 | $0.740 | $200 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 374.82 | $0.620 | $232.44 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 55.87 | $0.358 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |