NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

politicsActive

Closes Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.8%

99.3%

Yes costs 0.75¢No costs 99.25¢

24h Volume

$151.2K

Total volume

$4.4M

Liquidity

$216.0K

Closes

Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomNATO / Russia Russia–Ukraine

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
JohnGalt-ElephantBarFund	sell	No	99.1%	11.41	Oct 30, 10:33 AM UTC
accelarated	sell	Yes	0.9%	999.99	Oct 30, 10:07 AM UTC
NoIdea666	buy	No	98.8%	316.37	Oct 30, 10:06 AM UTC
WaterlooUV	sell	No	98.7%	1.99	Oct 30, 9:47 AM UTC
WaterlooUV	buy	No	98.8%	1.99	Oct 30, 9:38 AM UTC
aaronyi0917	buy	No	98.8%	14.96	Oct 30, 8:43 AM UTC
Normal-Charlatan	sell	No	98.6%	33.81	Oct 30, 6:24 AM UTC
tokenium	sell	No	98.7%	51.96	Oct 30, 6:10 AM UTC
jiangyao	sell	No	98.8%	25.35	Oct 30, 6:06 AM UTC
Humiliating-Brick	sell	No	98.8%	1.12	Oct 30, 2:13 AM UTC
Ready-Resource	buy	No	99.3%	20	Oct 30, 12:19 AM UTC
Ready-Resource	buy	No	98.8%	4.99	Oct 30, 12:08 AM UTC
Spirit-LT	buy	Yes	1.2%	407.01	Oct 29, 11:39 PM UTC
LlamaLoco0000	buy	Yes	0.8%	3.41K	Oct 29, 11:27 PM UTC
LlamaLoco0000	buy	Yes	0.4%	11.97K	Oct 29, 11:25 PM UTC
thomyorke-802	sell	No	99.7%	52.88	Oct 29, 10:38 PM UTC
Probable-Strait	sell	No	99.7%	168	Oct 29, 9:46 PM UTC
timasigma	sell	No	99.7%	76.68	Oct 29, 9:22 PM UTC
Cosmic Comet 2704	sell	No	99.7%	1.05	Oct 29, 9:02 PM UTC
MisTKy	sell	No	99.7%	11.55K	Oct 29, 9:02 PM UTC
tox075	sell	No	99.7%	28.41	Oct 29, 9:00 PM UTC
FishermansFiend	sell	No	99.7%	1.63K	Oct 29, 8:48 PM UTC
mamont999	sell	Yes	0.2%	715	Oct 29, 8:46 PM UTC
JKDRKN	sell	No	99.7%	325.58	Oct 29, 8:44 PM UTC
dimasximik	sell	No	99.7%	21.27	Oct 29, 8:38 PM UTC
Rapid Quasar 51BA	sell	Yes	0.2%	399	Oct 29, 8:34 PM UTC
Rapid Kestrel 977F	sell	Yes	0.3%	21.22	Oct 29, 8:33 PM UTC
Maplesky	sell	Yes	0.3%	77.97K	Oct 29, 8:33 PM UTC
Sosneo	sell	Yes	0.4%	4.44K	Oct 29, 5:55 PM UTC
Maplesky	sell	Yes	0.5%	488.51	Oct 29, 5:51 PM UTC
Maplesky	sell	Yes	0.6%	24.23K	Oct 29, 5:51 PM UTC
Juvenile-Jicama	buy	Yes	1.4%	687.62	Oct 29, 5:51 PM UTC
xiaopxiong	sell	No	98.7%	148.5	Oct 29, 5:49 PM UTC
Tenebrus7	sell	No	98.9%	500	Oct 29, 5:48 PM UTC
dontshowmyname	sell	No	99.2%	293.22	Oct 29, 5:38 PM UTC
baybug	sell	No	99.2%	200	Oct 29, 5:35 PM UTC
Danya.Savin	sell	No	99.2%	100	Oct 29, 5:29 PM UTC
Volodyabandit	sell	No	99.2%	58.82	Oct 29, 5:28 PM UTC
Flustered-Impala	sell	No	99.2%	5	Oct 29, 5:15 PM UTC
OraculumNobius	sell	No	99.2%	1.5K	Oct 29, 5:10 PM UTC
OraculumNobius	sell	No	99.2%	4K	Oct 29, 5:10 PM UTC
Indigo Meteor DD40	sell	No	99.3%	6.01	Oct 29, 5:00 PM UTC
Indigo Meteor DD40	buy	No	99.4%	6.01	Oct 29, 4:59 PM UTC
Lunar Kestrel 3301	sell	No	99.3%	10.01	Oct 29, 4:31 PM UTC
Lunar Kestrel 3301	buy	No	99.4%	10.01	Oct 29, 4:30 PM UTC
Antouane	sell	Yes	0.6%	31.25	Oct 29, 4:30 PM UTC
PowerPicker	sell	No	99.2%	40	Oct 29, 4:26 PM UTC
Lunar Kestrel 3301	sell	No	99.3%	32.03	Oct 29, 4:06 PM UTC
Lunar Kestrel 3301	buy	No	99.4%	32.03	Oct 29, 4:05 PM UTC
mamai	sell	No	99.2%	3.2K	Oct 29, 3:55 PM UTC
Indigo Meteor DD40	sell	No	99.3%	6	Oct 29, 2:55 PM UTC
Indigo Meteor DD40	buy	No	99.4%	6.01	Oct 29, 2:54 PM UTC
Lunar Kestrel 3301	sell	No	99.2%	12.01	Oct 29, 2:43 PM UTC
Lunar Kestrel 3301	buy	No	99.4%	12.01	Oct 29, 2:43 PM UTC
Indigo Meteor DD40	sell	No	99.2%	6.01	Oct 29, 2:17 PM UTC
Indigo Meteor DD40	buy	No	99.4%	6.01	Oct 29, 2:16 PM UTC
Indigo Meteor DD40	sell	No	99.3%	6	Oct 29, 2:14 PM UTC
Indigo Meteor DD40	buy	No	99.4%	6.01	Oct 29, 2:13 PM UTC
Unfolded-Extent	sell	No	99.2%	199.6	Oct 29, 1:43 PM UTC
Solar Orbit F36C	sell	No	99.3%	20.02	Oct 29, 1:39 PM UTC

60 of the 500 most recent trades.Subscribers can pull the full trade history where Vultax has archived it.

Topic room

Read this market in context

What to watch in NATO / Russia

Drone and aircraft incursions over Poland, Romania and the Baltic states, and what shoots them down: a NATO jet downing a Russian reconnaissance drone is a different event from a Romanian F-16 downing a one-way munition aimed at Ukraine
Whether a member government formally requests Article 4 consultations, rather than saying it is considering one
Air policing and the Eastern Sentry posture on the eastern flank, and the rules of engagement allies publish for drones