Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 363.09 | $0.930 | $339.49 | +$1.82 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 3.51 | $0.770 | $2.7 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 253 |
| $0.870 |
| $241.62 |
| +$21.51 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 184.92 | $0.928 | $179.1 | +$7.49 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 484.28 | $0.264 | $157.39 | +$29.41 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 128.01 | $0.950 | $125.9 | +$4.29 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.163 | $115.97 | -$144.21 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 800 | $0.061 | $106 | +$57.17 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 163.48 | $0.651 | $94 | -$12.44 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 95.3 | $0.960 | $93.34 | +$1.86 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 105.63 | $0.820 | $83.98 | -$2.64 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 88.26 | $0.907 | $83.36 | +$3.29 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 79.83 | $0.910 | $72.24 | -$0.4 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027? | No | 69.96 | $0.833 | $64.96 | +$6.68 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 60.72 | $0.899 | $59.35 | +$4.77 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 62.08 | $0.908 | $59.13 | +$2.76 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.61K | $0.021 | $55.7 | +$21.36 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 52.56 | $0.900 | $47.56 | +$0.26 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.98 | $0.927 | $41.14 | +$2.21 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 41.88 | $0.956 | $40.86 | +$0.82 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 140.26 | $0.272 | $39.97 | +$1.79 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 168.01 | $0.150 | $31.08 | +$5.88 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 31.86 | $0.850 | $28.19 | +$1.11 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? | Yes | 26.6 | $0.796 | $23.4 | +$2.23 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 30.67 | $0.460 | $19.48 | +$5.37 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 78.98 | $0.449 | $17.77 | -$17.67 |
| buy |
| 105.63 |
| $0.820 |
| $86.62 |
| 3h ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 114.49 | $0.770 | $88.16 | 3h ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.41 | $0.270 | $9.02 | 23h ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 222.05 | $0.040 | $8.88 | 23h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.097 | $7.7 | 1d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 39.18 | $0.200 | $7.84 | 1d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.04 | $0.280 | $8.69 | 1d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 191.95 | $0.040 | $7.68 | 1d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 100.53 | $0.005 | $0.5 | 3d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 75.81 | $0.270 | $20.47 | 3d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 83.99 | $0.170 | $14.28 | 3d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 223.6 | $0.050 | $11.18 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 56.21 | $0.320 | $17.99 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 28.86 | $0.630 | $18.18 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40.58 | $0.450 | $18.26 | 6d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 190.4 | $0.050 | $9.52 | 6d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 166.13 | $0.150 | $24.92 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60.86 | $0.467 | $28.4 | 6d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 16.78 | $0.930 | $15.61 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 107.09 | $0.210 | $22.49 | 6d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 16.26 | $0.700 | $11.38 | 6d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 102.32 | $0.021 | $2.15 | 6d ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.72 | $0.230 | $1.78 | 6d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.02 | $0.790 | $7.13 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 24.86 | $0.648 | $16.11 | 11d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 54.38 | $0.270 | $14.68 | 11d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 39.18 | $0.220 | $8.62 | 11d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | sell | 67.05 | $0.150 | $10.06 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 22.62 | $0.676 | $15.28 | 11d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | sell | 66.78 | $0.120 | $8.01 | 11d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.32 | $0.303 | $11.63 | 11d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 73.29 | $0.261 | $19.16 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 34.1 | $0.610 | $20.8 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 106.4 | $0.170 | $18.09 | 11d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 106.4 | $0.100 | $10.64 | 11d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.3 | $0.920 | $8.56 | 11d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | sell | 121.6 | $0.041 | $4.99 | 13d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.71 | $0.930 | $9.03 | 14d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.06 | $0.920 | $8.34 | 14d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 83.84 | $0.930 | $77.97 | 14d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 306.31 | $0.256 | $78.44 | 14d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.87 | $0.930 | $31.5 | 14d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 36.01 | $0.880 | $31.69 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.54 | $0.130 | $13.07 | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 14.81 | $0.870 | $12.88 | 14d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.58 | $0.930 | $31.23 | 14d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 120.45 | $0.262 | $31.52 | 14d ago |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 10.65 | $0.830 | $8.84 | 14d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.59 | $0.280 | $8.85 | 14d ago |