Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.69K | $0.451 | $1.57K | +$803.91 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 673.16 | $0.767 | $516.03 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.61K |
| $0.764 |
| $1.28K |
| +$50.13 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.32K | $0.885 | $1.21K | +$46.59 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.740 | $1.08K | +$215.92 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.57K | $0.132 | $1.06K | +$851.72 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.14K | $0.339 | $983.83 | +$597.84 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.93K | $0.110 | $813.92 | +$601.86 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 643.01 | $0.803 | $562.64 | +$46.02 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 683.06 | $0.756 | $536.21 | +$19.58 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 736.94 | $0.697 | $534.28 | +$20.58 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 542.55 | $0.885 | $522.48 | +$42.35 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 575.18 | $0.747 | $520.54 | +$90.92 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 549.89 | $0.733 | $503.15 | +$100.04 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 673.16 | $0.766 | $488.04 | -$27.99 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 472.85 | $0.907 | $427.93 | -$1.16 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 456.25 | $0.942 | $426.59 | -$3.03 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 441.57 | $0.932 | $411.32 | -$0.26 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | Yes | 418.87 | $0.684 | $366.51 | +$80.05 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 378.97 | $0.895 | $354.34 | +$15.07 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | No | 302.84 | $0.910 | $295.72 | +$20.14 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 369.96 | $0.542 | $294.12 | +$93.61 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 236.91 | $0.846 | $212.04 | +$11.52 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | No | 208.2 | $0.950 | $198.83 | +$1.04 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 219.53 | $0.846 | $189.89 | +$4.26 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 210.9 | $0.821 | $189.81 | +$16.71 |
| sell |
| 463.95 |
| $0.930 |
| $431.47 |
| 4d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?No | sell | 80.74 | $0.930 | $75.09 | 4d ago |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | sell | 15.86 | $0.943 | $14.96 | 4d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?No | buy | 15.17 | $0.960 | $14.56 | 5d ago |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 16.91 | $0.880 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?No | buy | 16.17 | $0.920 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.84 | $0.750 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 57.23 | $0.250 | $14.31 | 5d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | buy | 57.23 | $0.260 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 16.81 | $0.885 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | buy | 16.91 | $0.880 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | buy | 15.86 | $0.938 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | buy | 16.35 | $0.910 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.950 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.38 | $0.730 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.22 | $0.590 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.72 | $0.890 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 17.3 | $0.860 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 20.11 | $0.740 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 17.57 | $0.847 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.930 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.71 | $0.840 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.83 | $0.940 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.84 | $0.790 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.84 | $0.750 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.82 | $0.440 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 33.11 | $0.449 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 17.3 | $0.860 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 32.35 | $0.460 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.83 | $0.940 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 16.17 | $0.920 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.950 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.53 | $0.900 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.930 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.950 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 16.72 | $0.890 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.930 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 16.91 | $0.880 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 16.07 | $0.926 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.57 | $0.690 | $14.88 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 119.33 | $0.624 | $74.47 | 5d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 83.67 | $0.890 | $74.47 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.63 | $0.880 | $74.47 | 5d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?No | buy | 80.08 | $0.930 | $74.47 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 90.82 | $0.820 | $74.47 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 87.61 | $0.850 | $74.47 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 81.84 | $0.910 | $74.47 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 88.65 | $0.840 | $74.47 | 5d ago |
| Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | buy | 80.21 | $0.928 | $74.47 | 5d ago |