Analytics
Yes is at 15.5%, down 2 points from 17.5% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 18 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 17.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9%. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 11.5% on 3 Oct 2026.
$156.28 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.85K since listing. The order book holds $11K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 85 trades, $243.91 bought Yes and $1.72K bought No.
The largest Yes position is macrosteaks with 623 shares; the largest No position is Kirill1975 with 540. Ten wallets hold 75.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 71 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 7:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks | Yes | 622.9 |
| Kirill1975 | No | 540.02 |
| moneymaxing | No | 530 |
If Vladimir Putin visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vladimir Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Vladimir Putin enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Russia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/putin-visits-us-by-december-31-2026
| M888 |
| Yes |
| 509.25 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 400 |
| Porx | No | 259.9 |
| TimerKhan | Yes | 250 |
| bananabreakfast | Yes | 200 |
| tetrase | No | 200 |
| Newshound | Yes | 199.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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