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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 54.57K | $0.653 | $43.93K | +$8.29K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 686.39 | $0.481 | $330.49 | 37m ago |
|
| No |
| 35K |
| $0.995 |
| $34.84K |
| +$17.56 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 63.89K | $0.496 | $34.18K | +$2.47K |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 34.75K | $0.886 | $32.14K | +$1.36K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 29.87K | $0.605 | $15.68K | -$2.38K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 28.22K | $0.357 | $12.88K | +$2.79K |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 9.01K | $0.831 | $7.71K | +$220.43 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 6.94K | $0.835 | $6.35K | +$557.98 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 4.61K | $0.860 | $4.31K | +$346.06 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.750 | $2.3K | +$425 |
 Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 2.04K | $0.941 | $2K | +$74.64 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 9.29K | $0.192 | $1.35K | -$437.62 |
 Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? | No | 1.43K | $0.740 | $1.31K | +$250.99 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 999.99 | $0.880 | $879.99 | $0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 793.98 | $0.870 | $694.74 | +$3.97 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | No | 700 | $0.800 | $637 | +$77 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 632.11 | $0.964 | $613.46 | +$4.11 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 608.89 | $0.820 | $554.09 | +$54.8 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 1.08K | $0.607 | $508.14 | -$148.41 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | No | 531.91 | $0.906 | $502.93 | +$21.01 |
| Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? | No | 539.94 | $0.697 | $488.65 | +$112.28 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.840 | $476.25 | +$56.25 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 612.63 | $0.600 | $395.15 | +$27.57 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 426.06 | $0.900 | $385.58 | +$2.13 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 380 | $0.950 | $326.8 | -$34.2 |
| buy |
| 70.59 |
| $0.550 |
| $38.82 |
| 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.600 | $846.84 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.83K | $0.618 | $1.13K | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 731.55 | $0.617 | $451.54 | 11h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.440 | $547.04 | 12h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 861.1 | $0.430 | $370.27 | 12h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 713.65 | $0.870 | $620.88 | 12h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 351.7 | $0.900 | $316.53 | 12h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.443 | $937.39 | 12h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.06K | $0.995 | $4.04K | 17h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.56K | $0.911 | $1.42K | 17h ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 638.08 | $0.050 | $31.9 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.430 | $107.5 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 388.08 | $0.420 | $162.99 | 1d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 1.65K | $0.400 | $661.66 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.470 | $709.18 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.390 | $581.85 | 2d ago |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 632.11 | $0.964 | $609.35 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.350 | $1.02K | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.7K | $0.340 | $1.6K | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 2.3K | $0.660 | $1.52K | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 4.07K | $0.380 | $1.55K | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.53K | $0.680 | $1.04K | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.71K | $0.130 | $1K | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.45K | $0.130 | $837.91 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 395 | $0.080 | $31.6 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 90.16 | $0.700 | $63.11 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.27K | $0.710 | $1.61K | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.85K | $0.700 | $2K | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.63K | $0.690 | $1.82K | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.14K | $0.150 | $1.22K | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.160 | $400 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 902.9 | $0.160 | $144.46 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.160 | $224 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 144.91 | $0.170 | $24.63 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 134.91 | $0.170 | $22.93 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 1.96K | $0.380 | $745.53 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.11 | $0.170 | $7.84 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.11 | $0.170 | $7.84 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 3.56K | $0.380 | $1.35K | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.170 | $255 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 1.34K | $0.690 | $923.35 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 850 | $0.620 | $527 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 907 | $0.650 | $589.55 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 3.08K | $0.639 | $1.97K | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.36K | $0.600 | $3.22K | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.590 | $1.3K | 3d ago |