Analytics
Yes is at 5.5%, down 59 points from 64.5% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
The high was 65% on 31 Jan 2026 and the low 5.5% on 19 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 5.5%; a month ago, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 15% on 6 Feb 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$31.23K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $21.5K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 300 trades, $517.98 bought Yes and $11.52K bought No; the largest was a $1.72K sell of No at 74.0¢.
The largest Yes position is nen8 with 4.6K shares; the largest No position is XieGuangKun with 1.8K. Ten wallets hold 91.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 86 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 5:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 235 points · 30 Jan 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 64.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nen8 | Yes | 4.59K |
| XieGuangKun | No | 1.79K |
| MisTKy | No | 1.43K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hurupay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hurupay (https://x.com/HurupayApp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hurupay-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| SongXiaoFeng |
| No |
| 1.22K |
| 2B9S | Yes | 747 |
| Red781RuM | No | 665.42 |
| lexaman.eth | No | 543.63 |
| hithitfar | No | 341.81 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 245.26 |
| emilianrus | Yes | 224.3 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
