Analytics
Yes is at 4.2%, down 50 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
The high was 54.5% on 30 Jan 2026 and the low 0.5% on 15 May 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4.2%; a month ago, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 50.2% on 16 Jun 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$41.05K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $21.07K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 405 trades, $186.73 bought Yes and $19.18K bought No; the largest was a $8.81K buy of No at 97.9¢.
The largest Yes position is nen8 with 3.5K shares; the largest No position is JiuMoZhiDaShi with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 90.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 79 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 3:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 247 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 54.5% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 4.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nen8 | Yes | 3.48K |
| JiuMoZhiDaShi | No | 1.66K |
| SongXiaoFeng | No | 999.55 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hurupay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hurupay (https://x.com/HurupayApp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hurupay-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| XieGuangKun |
| No |
| 559.68 |
| Irboz-sama | No | 457.98 |
| lexaman.eth | No | 163.77 |
| OneBadBet | No | 145.64 |
| emilianrus | No | 135.41 |
| pppnn | Yes | 100 |
| hitfar | Yes | 95 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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