Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.913 | $2.81K | +$65.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 230 | $0.975 | $224.33 | 16d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.5K |
| $0.938 |
| $2.46K |
| +$110.36 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2.33K | $0.790 | $1.94K | +$95.29 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2K | $0.862 | $1.85K | +$125 |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 1.47K | $0.963 | $1.44K | +$18.81 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.5K | $0.922 | $1.38K | -$0.13 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.5K | $0.816 | $1.28K | +$58.75 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.51K | $0.693 | $1.28K | +$233.86 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.25K | $0.824 | $1.17K | +$139.21 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 1.18K | $0.961 | $1.17K | +$32.56 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.973 | $991.5 | +$18.5 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.932 | $955 | +$22.5 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.922 | $925 | +$2.5 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 740.67 | $0.943 | $704.01 | +$5.63 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 688.73 | $0.840 | $616.41 | +$38.18 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | 654.25 | $0.920 | $611.72 | +$9.67 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 542.34 | $0.956 | $526.61 | +$8.05 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.956 | $483.25 | +$5.25 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.940 | $452.5 | -$17.5 |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 457.58 | $0.960 | $407.93 | -$31.41 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 487.7 | $0.762 | $343.83 | -$27.7 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 357.14 | $0.840 | $333.93 | +$33.93 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 418.01 | $0.818 | $282.16 | -$59.61 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 270 | $0.947 | $255.83 | +$0.07 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 250 | $0.950 | $241.13 | +$3.63 |
| buy |
| 248 |
| $0.973 |
| $241.21 |
| 16d ago |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No | buy | 207.4 | $0.968 | $200.66 | 16d ago |
| Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 457.58 | $0.960 | $439.34 | 16d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 500 | $0.997 | $498.5 | 29d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 699 | $0.953 | $666.15 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 15?No | buy | 350 | $0.979 | $342.65 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.840 | $420 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.973 | $973 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 93.06 | $0.990 | $92.13 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 390.15 | $0.910 | $355.04 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 312.08 | $0.957 | $298.66 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 230.26 | $0.955 | $219.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 249.99 | $0.994 | $248.49 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 250 | $0.932 | $233 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 29.34 | $0.830 | $24.34 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 29.34 | $0.062 | $1.81 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.972 | $243 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.917 | $229.21 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 211.9 | $0.989 | $209.57 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?No | buy | 243.64 | $0.984 | $239.62 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 499.51 | $0.967 | $482.98 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100.7 | $0.993 | $100 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 362.62 | $0.130 | $47.14 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.991 | $247.75 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.926 | $143.57 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.940 | $235 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 158.82 | $0.930 | $147.7 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 500 | $0.967 | $483.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.957 | $1.44K | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.09 | $0.953 | $16.29 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.130 | $32.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.793 | $198.25 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.921 | $1.38K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.769 | $230.76 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.140 | $70 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.794 | $396.76 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 250 | $0.966 | $241.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.990 | $5.94 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.794 | $7.15 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.140 | $1.26 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.794 | $317.66 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.140 | $56 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 487.75 | $0.910 | $443.85 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 431.25 | $0.978 | $421.76 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes | buy | 27.57 | $0.975 | $26.88 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 631.45 | $0.580 | $366.24 | Jul 8, 2026 |