Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 10 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 26 May 2026.
Across the 146 daily closes on record from 26 May 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 21.5% on 26 Jul 2026.
$181.43K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $21.06K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.77K bought Yes and $14.07K bought No; the largest was a $2.69K buy of No at 87.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Ayata with 18.3K shares; the largest No position is debased with 28.4K. Ten wallets hold 85% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 146 points, 26 May 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 May 2026 | 16.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey officially announces early presidential elections to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 Turkish presidential election, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement requires an official public announcement by the Turkish government, the Presidency of Turkey, the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK) establishing, approving, scheduling, or formally initiating a presidential election to occur before the currently scheduled 2028 election. Announcements of discussions, proposals, negotiations, speculation, or calls for early elections by politicians, parties, media, or commentators, without official action to schedule or initiate such elections, will not qualify. If early presidential elections are officially announced before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the elections are later postponed, canceled, or ultimately held. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Turkish government authorities or the Supreme Election Council of Turkey (YSK); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-turkey-schedule-early-presidential-elections-in-2026
| Shadowy-Playwright |
| Yes |
| 4.73K |
| newbietrader99 | Yes | 3.66K |
| MisTKy | No | 2.5K |
| archaic | No | 2.16K |
| lava-lava | No | 950.37 |
| StarMaster | No | 749.5 |
| Aproax | Yes | 731.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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