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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.14 |
| $0.880 |
| $1.06 |
| +$0.06 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | +$0 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
| sell |
| 1.25 |
| $0.550 |
| $0.69 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.940 | $1.13 | 4d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.930 | $1.12 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.995 | $1.02 | 13d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.942 | $1.05 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | 26d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.700 | $0.76 | 26d ago |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.963 | $1.03 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.982 | $1.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio say "Trump" 3+ times during Fox News: My View appearance?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.934 | $1.27 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio say "Trump" 3+ times during Fox News: My View appearance?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.988 | $1.03 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.988 | $1.07 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.560 | $0.77 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.770 | $0.99 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.984 | $1.07 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | sell | 1.2 | $0.890 | $1.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.960 | $1.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.981 | $1.05 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.220 | $0.3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.986 | $1.1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.993 | $1.03 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |