Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 503.06 | $0.917 | $494.26 | +$33.04 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?No | buy | 73.2 | $0.956 | $70 | 27d ago |
 |
| No |
| 406.77 |
| $0.848 |
| $394.36 |
| +$49.36 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 430.92 | $0.764 | $336.12 | +$6.8 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 291.95 | $0.939 | $287.72 | +$13.72 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | 185.64 | $0.903 | $177.66 | +$9.98 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 186.82 | $0.840 | $163.46 | +$6.46 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 169.11 | $0.923 | $159.81 | +$3.7 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 153.97 | $0.885 | $143.96 | +$7.65 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.908 | $140.25 | +$4.05 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 142.51 | $0.908 | $138.44 | +$9.04 |
 Nick Fuentes federally charged? | No | 124.98 | $0.960 | $124.04 | +$4.06 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 129.31 | $0.920 | $122.65 | +$3.71 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 114.34 | $0.858 | $108.06 | +$9.99 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 115 | $0.870 | $107.53 | +$7.48 |
 Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 115.41 | $0.793 | $106.18 | +$14.68 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 110.71 | $0.917 | $105.78 | +$4.27 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 100.93 | $0.953 | $98.56 | +$2.35 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $94.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 100.28 | $0.918 | $91.76 | -$0.29 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 97.78 | $0.773 | $91.42 | +$15.81 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 91.79 | $0.933 | $88.99 | +$3.35 |
 Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 90 | $0.960 | $86 | -$0.41 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 90.84 | $0.860 | $84.02 | +$5.9 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 77.62 | $0.920 | $75.18 | +$3.72 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 80 | $0.910 | $74.8 | +$2 |
| sell |
| 120 |
| $0.986 |
| $118.32 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 13.2 | $0.968 | $12.78 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Nick Fuentes federally charged?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.960 | $28.79 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.765 | $30.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.03 | $0.791 | $35.63 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.905 | $63.35 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.982 | $73.65 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.905 | $27.15 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.983 | $29.49 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.905 | $18.1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.79 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 80 | $0.910 | $72.8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.850 | $6.3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 78 | $0.838 | $65.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 90 | $0.960 | $86.4 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | buy | 15.08 | $0.938 | $14.15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.790 | $47.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Nick Fuentes federally charged?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.960 | $28.79 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Nick Fuentes federally charged?No | buy | 65 | $0.960 | $62.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 32.5 | $0.905 | $29.41 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Les Wexner charged by June 30?No | sell | 55 | $0.999 | $54.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 110 | $0.909 | $99.99 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 57.16 | $0.988 | $56.47 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 44.8 | $0.920 | $41.22 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 91.95 | $0.979 | $90 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.77 | $0.911 | $38.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.024 | $3.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.066 | $6.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Les Wexner charged by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Les Wexner charged by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.945 | $4.73 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.915 | $18.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |