Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 113.02 | $0.918 | $107.26 | +$3.51 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 14.2 | $0.960 | $13.63 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 140.58 |
| $0.676 |
| $88 |
| -$7.03 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 91.01 | $0.875 | $87.73 | +$8.1 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 85.91 | $0.839 | $71.78 | -$0.33 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 82.8 | $0.731 | $69.14 | +$8.64 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 67.68 | $0.443 | $57.86 | +$27.86 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 60 | $0.890 | $56.1 | +$2.7 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 55.87 | $0.687 | $55.06 | +$16.66 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 54.95 | $0.907 | $53.52 | +$3.7 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 62 | $0.461 | $52.39 | +$23.81 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50.88 | +$0.88 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $49.83 | +$5.83 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 134.38 | $0.305 | $27.55 | -$13.45 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 27.18 | $0.848 | $22.97 | -$0.1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 14.2 | $0.960 | $13.92 | +$0.28 |
 Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 15 | $0.797 | $13.13 | +$1.18 |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | Yes | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | $0 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 21.67 | $0.462 | $7.91 | -$2.09 |
| Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 40 | $0.180 | $7.4 | +$0.2 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 150 | $0.029 | $4.58 | +$0.23 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.180 |
| $7.2 |
| 9d ago |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 9d ago |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 9d ago |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.054 | $3.24 | 9d ago |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 168.85 | $0.983 | $165.98 | 11d ago |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.890 | $53.4 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.897 | $17.94 | 15d ago |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.851 | $9.36 | 17d ago |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.841 | $9.25 | 17d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 92.72 | $0.984 | $91.24 | 18d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 46.02 | $0.994 | $45.74 | 19d ago |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.908 | $36.32 | 21d ago |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.907 | $4.54 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 135.96 | $0.994 | $135.14 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.993 | $15.89 | 21d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.950 | $15.2 | 24d ago |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | 24d ago |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.930 | $19.53 | 24d ago |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 25d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.983 | $57.82 | 29d ago |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 29d ago |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.8 | $0.860 | $17.03 | 29d ago |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.780 | $19.02 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 29d ago |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.026 | $10.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 54.94 | $0.930 | $51.09 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 51.8 | $0.709 | $36.73 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.390 | $8.58 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.658 | $29.61 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.657 | $5.27 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.940 | $37.59 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.052 | $3.12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.029 | $4.35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 18.02 | $0.926 | $16.69 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.480 | $8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 144.21 | $0.840 | $121.14 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.56 | $0.850 | $22.58 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 26.09 | $0.230 | $6 | Jul 28, 2026 |