Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 351.18 | $0.962 | $341.35 | +$3.53 |
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| No |
| 338.46 |
| $0.775 |
| $264 |
| +$1.8 |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 130 | $0.970 | $127.01 | +$0.97 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 120.81 | $0.953 | $116.58 | +$1.4 |
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 120 | $0.942 | $113.16 | +$0.12 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 101.07 | $0.954 | $98.95 | +$2.48 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 120 | $0.835 | $96.6 | -$3.6 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 100 | $0.880 | $88.5 | +$0.5 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $86.5 | +$0.5 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 100 | $0.820 | $84.5 | +$2.5 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | Yes | 85.29 | $0.938 | $83.37 | +$3.37 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 88.48 | $0.835 | $76.89 | +$3.03 |
NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 80 | $0.925 | $75.52 | +$1.52 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 59.99 | $0.959 | $59.48 | +$1.95 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.730 | $57.6 | -$0.8 |
Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.950 | $56.7 | -$0.3 |
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 60 | $0.910 | $56.1 | +$1.5 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.940 | $48.65 | +$1.65 |
Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.951 | $47.75 | +$0.2 |
Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections? | Yes | 42.02 | $0.942 | $41.41 | +$1.83 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 80.36 | $0.647 | $41.38 | -$10.62 |
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.852 | $38.25 | -$4.35 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.28 | $0.935 | $38.18 | -$0.42 |
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 40 | $0.967 | $36.38 | -$2.3 |
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30.17 | +$0.17 |